TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
PAOKof PAOK, FK Dynamo Kyiv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,579 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d8a…5201backed FK Dynamo Kyiv14c3,001$420 inLost-$420.122425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed FK Dynamo Kyiv16c2,022$323 inLost-$323.530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed FK Dynamo Kyiv16c1,253$205 inLost-$205.3938144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv12c875.01$105 inLost-$1054551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv15c653.88$100 inLost-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3a5…3249backed FK Dynamo Kyiv14c632.6$89 inLost-$88.51425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed FK Dynamo Kyiv16c499.98$80 inLost-$80825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed FK Dynamo Kyiv15c479.94$70 inLost-$70.3826417.8%47 W · 217 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked FK Dynamo Kyiv17c360$61 inLost-$61.22245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PAOK79c326.11$259 inWon+$67.0563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv17c294.12$50 inLost-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked FK Dynamo Kyiv17c200$34 inLost-$34616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed FK Dynamo Kyiv22c198.5$43 inLost-$43.416333.3%21 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FK Dynamo Kyiv22c145.78$32 inLost-$31.7979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked FK Dynamo Kyiv14c137.01$19 inLost-$19.267440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv24c119.79$29 inLost-$28.8178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed FK Dynamo Kyiv13c115.38$15 inLost-$152050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed FK Dynamo Kyiv17c99.99$17 inLost-$171216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-64.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa522…2c26backed FK Dynamo Kyiv15c99.99$15 inLost-$15887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.41per pick47cpaid+89%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb968…0a63backed FK Dynamo Kyiv15c80.95$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed PAOK75c80$60 inWon+$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed FK Dynamo Kyiv17c80$14 inLost-$13.63828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed PAOK79c59.85$47 inWon+$12.565350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked PAOK67c26$17 inWon+$8.582454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.