Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740cd2f01fababc8ccb75949ba28e8861f670bbcc99b2312f78ade88559f6f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 50c | 4,791$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,698$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 2,131$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.33 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…d2a3backed Over | 30c | 999.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 3c | 622.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 57c | 307.13$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 306.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 176.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 63c | 119.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 108.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 105.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 52c | 91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 67c | 77.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 70.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 62.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 46.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…cbffbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 50c | 33.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Over won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 5.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to AdvancePAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.