Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc632f9989da9112e6a00b3383b2daa5b060644aeea7583be24512044abb0a359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 12,659$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 8,578$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.28 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 4,429$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.97 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Over | 14c | 3,772$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 54c | 3,742$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.9 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 31c | 2,005$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.71 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 43c | 999.82$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.9 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 66c | 615.07$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.17 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 466.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 51c | 466.12$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 17c | 441.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 56c | 419.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 50c | 357.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.57 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…f37abacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…ad68backed Over | 55c | 324.46$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 55c | 300.16$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 49c | 299.1$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 291$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 56c | 276.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 45c | 263.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…fa07backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 63c | 262.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 45c | 174.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 170.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 127.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 127.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 55c | 123.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 59c | 122.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 121.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 118.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 45c | 110.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 42c | 97.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 42c | 75.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 49c | 71.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 34c | 62.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 59.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 58c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 49.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…370fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 45c | 36.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 36.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 57c | 34.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 31.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 78c | 25.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 62c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 76cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…5fedbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…027ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5this page
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Over won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 5.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to AdvancePAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.