Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: PAOK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f0481b2dd23d6301a2e1325091736b7f0499f4e4586a36be22775300dfb1b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PAOKof PAOK, FK Dynamo Kyiv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed PAOK | 30c | 2,961$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.36 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 69c | 2,496$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.04 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 73c | 2,444$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PAOK | 25c | 2,051$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.37 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed PAOK | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed PAOK | 30c | 557.63$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.34 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 70c | 539.56$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.69 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 71c | 259.03$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed PAOK | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 69c | 148.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 76c | 130.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 76c | 130.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 71c | 108.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed PAOK | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +238.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 69c | 84.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 26c | 75.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 68c | 70.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 74c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 72c | 46.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked PAOK | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 71c | 27.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked FK Dynamo Kyiv | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FK Dynamo Kyiv | 70c | 18.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)this page
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 1.5Over won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 4.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 5.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: PAOK O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to AdvancePAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.