TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,979 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes35c32,278$11,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,401.981,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Yes41c29,602$12,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,189.31560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c28,347$16,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,622.2721253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes39c21,441$8,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,461.953053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c13,988$10,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.044,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c13,096$8,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,586.582,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9912847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No60c9,540$5,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8163452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No61c8,096$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.259856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No59c8,052$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.37653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes41c7,317$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No60c7,056$4,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.47448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Yes22c5,051$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.29742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c4,647$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.356,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c4,452$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.871,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c4,428$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.822,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c3,827$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.125225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No59c3,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2403557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No59c2,670$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.1931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes41c2,405$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.9510144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No59c2,394$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.5435652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Yes40c2,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5132…150dbacked No61c2,200$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes40c2,159$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.610838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No59c2,000$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.7752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed No59c1,864$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes41c1,689$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.4915534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes13c1,567$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes41c1,462$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.369042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes40c1,444$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.4513348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c1,241$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No61c1,181$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.524146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes41c1,175$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.7630143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No62c970$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.63641.7%15 W · 21 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes35c858.7$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7618748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c822.86$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.649544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Yes41c696.21$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.454055%22 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No59c677$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5710246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked No66c659.99$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.44531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes34c579.41$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No71c576.55$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.320059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes10c575.93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1141344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Yes36c538.4$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.011822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No67c509.35$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.284369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes27c496.56$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13335743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes39c450$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No61c433.75$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.162948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes28c419.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3910626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes32c416.69$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1427552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15623531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes20c396.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9913948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes13c382.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No58c377.11$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.129532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes33c360$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.233129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes12c340$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes42c337.76$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.869534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed No60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes33c315$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1316548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes19c308.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010547.6%50 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed No67c305.97$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.972119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-65.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1179150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264030%12 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes42c296.38$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.485232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes27c294.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.215249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes41c287.8$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1186543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes34c279.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9512532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes32c254$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.774057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes15c252$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.241936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No68c251.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Yes41c241.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c218.29$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.632,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Yes40c200.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.152040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc38e…dce8backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6045142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes28c187.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0428531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c184.47$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes9c183.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No67c182.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3831747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.