TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Bournemouth wins the Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,034,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,282,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,034,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,030 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c4,264,803$17,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,059.21180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c3,003,091$18,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,018.55150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…2852backed Yes0c2,230,841$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.5120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c1,982,381$9,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,690.05160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c994,447$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.113116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c933,528$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.439917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…cae0backed Yes1c890,708$5,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,712.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c6…8fedbacked Yes1c814,565$5,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,268.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2756…666bbacked Yes1c764,504$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e47…d77cbacked Yes0c694,371$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c429,617$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.37170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes0c420,196$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.35234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c419,996$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.98313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c414,651$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.28267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c409,066$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.13150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes1c400,001$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes0c399,999$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002025%5 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…282abacked Yes1c365,282$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.9830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes0c272,127$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.3811638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf326…3ababacked Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes0c199,999$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c189,996$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.99372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…c7a7backed Yes0c140,400$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c133,080$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.05219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c86,564$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.42780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…29f3backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1181…faa8backed Yes0c75,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes1c73,243$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.212817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28f1…3ecbbacked Yes1c70,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes0c67,213$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.31110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes0c61,686$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6faf…10d3backed Yes0c57,911$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…17cfbacked Yes1c56,600$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1e…24a9backed Yes1c50,684$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c1…9faabacked Yes1c50,636$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8b…1393backed Yes1c50,436$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3313…9590backed Yes1c50,268$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…2bb4backed Yes1c50,118$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…2b81backed Yes1c50,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-71.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ca…ca3abacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes0c50,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…3732backed Yes1c49,998$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bc…d602backed Yes0c49,930$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe354…c3f0backed Yes1c49,704$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf9…1a29backed Yes1c49,702$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93a…fc40backed Yes1c49,562$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa28e…e894backed Yes1c49,426$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd915…e9c2backed Yes1c49,026$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa879…14b4backed Yes1c44,453$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f8…9a8abacked Yes0c44,333$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab86…be71backed Yes0c41,785$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Yes0c40,667$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ba…6d87backed Yes1c40,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d09…9ae2backed Yes1c40,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf1f…348fbacked Yes0c37,812$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes0c35,216$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.86200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fcb…d1fabacked Yes0c35,175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9488…0cbbbacked Yes0c35,013$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…788cbacked Yes0c34,999$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb225…f490backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da3…6a3bbacked Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x195e…43e8backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6e…9f1fbacked Yes0c33,233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1076…d160backed Yes0c32,578$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c4f…6df5backed Yes1c31,244$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b8…21a6backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae7…b681backed Yes1c29,884$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes1c29,756$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7890%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42dc…a2cebacked Yes1c28,961$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6977…b378backed Yes1c28,867$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881b…82d5backed Yes1c28,775$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35f…9b30backed Yes1c28,772$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb817…153ebacked Yes1c28,583$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…49c5backed Yes1c28,572$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfd…102ebacked Yes1c28,400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407c…046abacked Yes1c28,374$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x346c…78e4backed Yes1c28,358$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7848…41f0backed Yes1c27,972$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0d…e19ebacked Yes1c27,971$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3240…6358backed Yes1c27,969$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6e…8d15backed Yes1c27,574$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3e…d623backed Yes1c27,199$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7345…f5e7backed Yes1c26,898$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3694…1d72backed Yes0c25,879$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.762330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c45…4564backed Yes0c25,550$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7097…f839backed Yes0c25,500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb67b…18bdbacked Yes1c25,168$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x214d…e524backed Yes0c25,150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…79febacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7990…15efbacked Yes0c24,862$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ec…b829backed Yes0c24,862$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d17…7c34backed Yes1c24,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…ae15backed Yes1c24,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d50…7402backed Yes1c24,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e2…dc55backed Yes1c24,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5110…3c46backed Yes0c23,333$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f24…2f53backed Yes0c23,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9baa…3e52backed Yes0c22,766$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1732…ac8cbacked Yes1c22,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.