TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,783,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,719,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,783,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 695 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf541…74f7backed Yes0c5,195,360$20,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,781.44150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c3,914,561$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,469.16150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c1,636,260$6,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,545.04160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c987,945$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99880%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c946,713$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.429917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes0c581,678$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.71234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2a…6969backed Yes1c500,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98c…4dd2backed Yes1c388,404$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…2852backed Yes0c365,459$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.38120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeede…4287backed Yes1c222,356$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc1c…3b6ebacked Yes1c181,718$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1246backed Yes1c175,285$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c168,933$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.73313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…c7a7backed Yes0c166,647$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.94100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c152,359$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.06219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c150,196$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.39267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8391…c8bebacked Yes1c140,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e2…0360backed Yes0c131,644$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…a7ddbacked Yes1c120,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c114,535$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.48170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3077…02b3backed Yes0c111,111$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4480%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes0c99,999$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f2…e9ebbacked Yes1c91,617$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c83,404$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes0c75,869$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.75110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5c…37b3backed Yes0c75,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da3…6a3bbacked Yes0c75,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x195e…43e8backed Yes0c75,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44c…eb34backed Yes0c72,000$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086c…cb77backed Yes0c66,000$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f9…de78backed Yes0c65,613$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3b…c78bbacked Yes1c63,570$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe14d…2a31backed Yes0c56,632$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c0…1f2cbacked Yes1c55,589$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df1…bf04backed Yes0c53,724$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…d080backed Yes0c52,750$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x114b…02b4backed Yes0c51,831$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe596…2399backed Yes0c50,555$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c49,903$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6190%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb1…41f3backed Yes0c49,559$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0389…7994backed Yes0c49,414$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb5…6ce1backed Yes0c47,696$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc1…368bbacked Yes0c47,000$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c44,918$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8420819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54eb…262abacked Yes0c43,356$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb2…1406backed Yes0c43,349$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae6…e75dbacked Yes0c43,077$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef84…78babacked Yes0c42,279$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23f…bbadbacked Yes0c41,752$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168d…0941backed Yes0c41,349$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b5…9693backed Yes1c40,400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c37,573$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.15372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3a…ba80backed Yes1c37,232$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9e…fff1backed Yes0c35,573$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.72110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d07…b8ddbacked Yes0c34,196$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2016…3e9dbacked Yes1c33,600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…e1cebacked Yes0c32,469$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80b…4e73backed Yes0c31,500$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374e…27e3backed Yes0c31,372$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…6d5abacked Yes0c30,838$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c30,673$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff6…7965backed Yes0c30,478$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7331…f4cebacked Yes1c30,400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbab…1927backed Yes0c30,297$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e84…d3eabacked Yes0c30,240$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b98…ee05backed Yes0c30,230$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183c…ca7fbacked Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb398…310ebacked Yes0c29,899$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ce…2aa6backed Yes0c29,783$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a11…a90ebacked Yes0c29,696$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e6…212fbacked Yes1c29,600$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc696…9d51backed Yes1c28,758$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea39…b3bebacked Yes1c28,724$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Yes0c28,495$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.874831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…3738backed Yes0c28,163$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6a…c4f1backed Yes1c28,044$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f8…c9d3backed Yes1c28,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe320…7f85backed Yes1c28,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes0c28,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f00…1f58backed Yes1c28,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd3…d42dbacked Yes1c27,630$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x719e…1e28backed Yes1c27,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb830…2994backed Yes1c27,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…baa0backed Yes1c27,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73f…c16fbacked Yes1c26,720$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64fa…d900backed Yes0c26,635$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…a974backed Yes0c26,487$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1609…8a01backed Yes1c26,400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda78…8fa1backed Yes0c26,096$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5859…2be9backed Yes1c25,800$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7110…d8f4backed Yes1c25,789$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5258…6e61backed Yes1c25,600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9b…08cbbacked Yes1c25,427$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…efc0backed Yes0c25,356$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91d…b27dbacked Yes0c25,320$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170a…fc71backed Yes1c25,236$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e02…8ce9backed Yes1c25,200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191c…4eccbacked Yes0c25,132$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4b…4755backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…8b9abacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.