TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Aston Villa wins the Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,877,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,239,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,877,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d48…2852backed Yes0c5,931,975$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,687.91120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c3,403,238$17,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,523.26150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c1,750,948$12,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,283.63160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb9…fe54backed Yes0c916,961$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c537,493$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.48150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c505,432$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.893116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef1d…e404backed Yes0c495,830$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c484,051$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.769917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c467,999$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.99313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c380,959$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.38234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca2…2b48backed Yes0c249,250$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c239,245$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.02170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa714…8f50backed Yes1c227,066$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e13…4f6cbacked Yes1c222,167$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c217,243$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.43372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba9…0771backed Yes0c210,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c203,081$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.14267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c200,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes0c150,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc70…b721backed Yes0c129,500$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c107,415$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.44219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ac…6e16backed Yes0c105,476$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.751926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e5…1a7ebacked Yes0c104,150$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…5d5dbacked Yes1c90,570$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes1c80,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…1816backed Yes1c71,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…35a4backed Yes0c65,500$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fc…d52fbacked Yes1c64,278$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.05110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b35…f7c4backed Yes1c63,963$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.41100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c4…4f72backed Yes1c62,942$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.25110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3247…771fbacked Yes1c62,660$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.85119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick5cpaid-82.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe862…a0b0backed Yes0c60,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…95a6backed Yes1c56,823$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes0c50,875$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.551118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d91…3a83backed Yes0c50,375$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c6…f108backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b41…f2f2backed Yes1c48,936$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2839…5e2ebacked Yes1c48,709$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a63…8479backed Yes1c48,106$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b1…3fc9backed Yes1c46,720$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc53…8c9cbacked Yes1c40,900$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes1c40,185$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.660%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0c…d7ecbacked Yes1c39,833$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c38,138$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2810044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c36,408$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e2…fa6ebacked Yes1c35,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e03…eacdbacked Yes0c33,460$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11b…1b0fbacked Yes1c32,873$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes0c31,717$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6115…97ddbacked Yes1c31,667$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afb…bcd9backed Yes0c30,170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c30,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf605…b731backed Yes1c28,082$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63eb…ecf8backed Yes0c27,535$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…f7debacked Yes0c27,025$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9061…85a7backed Yes0c25,495$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb225…f490backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5c…37b3backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da3…6a3bbacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x195e…43e8backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…38c5backed Yes1c25,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c4…a334backed Yes0c24,335$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…dd1ebacked Yes0c24,113$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…23d7backed Yes1c24,094$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x546f…e8a0backed Yes0c24,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2c…9088backed Yes0c21,860$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…c605backed Yes1c21,266$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c20,314$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.35712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8b…6a8bbacked Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c8…f78abacked Yes1c19,108$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e85…9675backed Yes0c18,750$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc741…35e3backed Yes1c18,443$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a5…2e66backed Yes0c17,688$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab5…e2b7backed Yes1c16,833$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f0…3895backed Yes1c16,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381c…4e3bbacked Yes1c16,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-56.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e3…4754backed Yes0c15,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eed…eaaabacked Yes0c14,840$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddec…5999backed Yes1c14,667$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fb…ad13backed Yes1c14,333$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374d…6da7backed Yes1c14,286$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ca…f416backed Yes0c13,895$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes1c13,700$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.773732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x991d…7b58backed Yes1c13,167$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes0c13,012$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ee…e5cbbacked Yes1c12,818$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c12,509$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.79500%0 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7dc…9315backed Yes1c12,445$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…c000backed Yes1c12,312$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.871020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-67.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f4…7405backed Yes1c12,278$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f0…5330backed Yes1c12,253$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ce…6120backed Yes1c12,180$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fd…e6ecbacked Yes0c12,105$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb18…32eebacked Yes1c12,102$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3558…9611backed Yes0c12,080$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0005…e85ebacked Yes1c12,002$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7733…f6a1backed Yes1c11,976$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb26…4716backed Yes1c11,953$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x175e…26f8backed Yes1c11,794$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f3…9a6fbacked Yes1c11,718$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.