TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No23c75,000$17,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,25021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes77c43,763$33,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,065.445846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6009265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No21c12,343$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.655532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No10c4,913$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.3552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No23c4,898$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.065536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No20c3,196$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.4826022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes79c2,015$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.733055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No20c1,987$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No1c1,920$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6527939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca9a…af69backed Yes78c1,914$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No11c1,644$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.812,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes80c1,557$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.812955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes78c1,473$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1342844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked No14c1,240$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.642334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes79c1,113$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7219934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No20c1,082$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.412545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed No23c1,035$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.055448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes79c1,017$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.825545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No21c964.11$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.382917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No20c888$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.66949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes80c875$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1759954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…513bbacked Yes78c775.97$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.13560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes77c666.27$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.242576%19 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes77c649.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.56558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No21c583.67$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.141931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes79c448.38$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No21c425.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.322245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes77c399.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes80c375.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.122560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No18c333$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.942931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c4…1a5ebacked No10c329.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0469…2f00backed No17c271$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No20c257.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4733847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.417354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+61.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No16c245$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No12c210.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1911644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes79c204$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No21c175.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No13c157.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.765850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No20c149.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.946513.8%9 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes77c146.19$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes77c129.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.043545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a7…5517backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf8…00d1backed Yes80c125.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.04785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Yes80c118.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes77c114.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.221435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed No14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213054.6%71 W · 59 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9537926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182425%6 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No21c84.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.728545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed Yes77c80.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.592133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Yes77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No17c62.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6521243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b5…6a22backed No19c55.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7744…d6dfbacked Yes78c51.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.365100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.54452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ee…2a4fbacked Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43c…6003backed Yes80c43.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes76c42.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.264639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e8…c457backed Yes78c39.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef1…509cbacked Yes78c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Yes79c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…eefdbacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.644551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de1…2d12backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes79c19.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.092646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.231070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ffe…f83ebacked Yes78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9412247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Yes78c16.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.671625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes79c16.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4912258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9160…5bfebacked Yes78c15.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.33862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.225060%30 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Yes78c13.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.88825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa029…7e58backed Yes79c12.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ca…dcfbbacked Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.