TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No65c12,333$8,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,056.528,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes37c10,688$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,743.742,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c2,985$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.75,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes37c2,035$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.884022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes37c1,622$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.626949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No65c1,516$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.344431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes40c1,200$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72018543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes36c1,150$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes36c1,056$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.561526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c904.74$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.051,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No63c820.53$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.9327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c731.61$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.133,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes39c584.6$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.613151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No61c584.6$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.619752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.543141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No70c529.72$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.772,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No63c522.44$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No60c512.35$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.731,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes34c458.82$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.823948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No65c365.48$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.391,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No65c293.52$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9525866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes53c285.44$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5313248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes40c272.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.332759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.278452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273040%12 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c167$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.211,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No66c160$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No66c159.26$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.351,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Yes34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992250%11 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c129.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.051,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7519144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes80c123.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8534155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No67c117.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7819264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes41c114.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No66c108.62$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.113141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3443…64e9backed No67c95.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.052382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes79c89.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.11478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No67c88.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.535141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765d…2e22backed Yes78c83.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x808a…32c5backed Yes77c83.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b0…bb7bbacked Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked No14c80.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No60c78.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3227855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No59c76.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1721345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes34c74.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.136958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No64c71.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.644969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No16c69.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed No64c69.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.572657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8826…6a57backed Yes48c69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…f14dbacked No22c64.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-85.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No68c62.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4133365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.511140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed35…84fbbacked No64c62.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No64c57.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6815651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.565056%28 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes74c53.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3db…c173backed Yes34c52.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753040%12 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No59c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes59c49.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed No66c46.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.954271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes53c46.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7426745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes28c45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.421132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b1…94acbacked Yes35c44.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.231723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-54.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes38c43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.563831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5412348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No62c40.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.811864.4%76 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No68c40.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.424557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…311fbacked Yes37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No52c37.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.423234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5b03…13eebacked Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.594643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes29c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes48c35.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3641145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c31.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.771,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes38c31.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.583545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No66c31.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.483554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No65c30.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7919761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes37c29.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7310826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked No70c28.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.827060%42 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf389…2f73backed No66c25.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No60c25.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9718557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No67c23.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.115764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7790…427abacked No65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No57c22.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No65c22.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed No65c21.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.193444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed No70c21.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c21.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.233053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed Yes80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.752157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…3da2backed No65c17.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.