South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-05-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ebf54c04e83e34727ecc551477d2d1c68442eb55cae3e64276b6cf1705734f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Yes | 31c | 9,512$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 3,628$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.05 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 2,141$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.11 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,955$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,867$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.3 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 962.16$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.27 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…8a8bbacked No | 70c | 953.61$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 720.38$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 69c | 520$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…e4bfbacked Yes | 30c | 334.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 69c | 312$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 69c | 312$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 222.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 27c | 221.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 220.52$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 28c | 206.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 72c | 151.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 29c | 139.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 19c | 129.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 118.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 71c | 87.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 73c | 79.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 25c | 79.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…9332backed Yes | 28c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…70acbacked Yes | 29c | 68.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 58.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 57.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 57.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 54.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Yes | 23c | 43.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 43.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 73c | 38.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 37.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…b5e3backed No | 71c | 29.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-05-12?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.