TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Yes42c23,127$9,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,477.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c12,826$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.671,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No57c9,573$5,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,456.856952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No58c8,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6406347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No57c7,524$4,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,288.71850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4804548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes43c4,846$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.6523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes43c4,212$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c4,067$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.6552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Yes43c3,369$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+153%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c2,489$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.5233145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes43c2,246$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.258435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No56c2,204$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.443461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No57c1,693$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c1,238$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.7624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes72c1,229$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes44c1,160$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.426141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No57c999.9$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.943053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No58c974.8$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.381338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No4c755.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4745233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes43c676.06$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.352842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3484447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3484753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes42c579.12$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.892737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No2c572.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4512963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes43c561.51$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.067343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes43c559.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.854438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No57c555.99$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.918143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2854751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29512647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Yes42c459.98$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.051250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+65.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.053850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.055151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e2…475cbacked Yes43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes43c442.34$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c427.13$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes44c350.85$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No59c335$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.311644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes43c302.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.313050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Yes72c301.58$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes43c289.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes69c282.05$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed No31c267$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes69c253.93$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.721346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c229.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.081,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c220.68$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12826041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No59c218.54$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.943953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed No57c205.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No56c193.92$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.64250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes44c193.28$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.243828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe42…f9c9backed Yes44c191.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.33875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2363…b0e8backed Yes42c183.85$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.632240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11cc…4817backed Yes53c183.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes42c170.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdd…a037backed Yes43c164.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No59c152.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabc…26ebbacked Yes72c151.58$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.44366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No58c149.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.984461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes51c148.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes70c141.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.935356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc62…c38cbacked Yes72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No9c129.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes42c125.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.783716.2%6 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No56c120.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.617853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc196…77b6backed Yes43c116.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes43c112.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.01988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+63.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No57c111.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8210248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes43c107.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.452948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes74c105.29$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.811330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc875…9b86backed Yes42c103.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5918245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes44c98.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.353122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c97.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.567556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a95…5d96backed Yes42c91.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes65c90.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.615463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes66c90.44$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.11963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c89.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No59c87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.334050%20 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked No30c84.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0a…1584backed Yes43c77.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.041250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes42c77.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.799355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes70c74.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.472378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes70c74.41$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9612367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes70c74.41$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9610364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes42c71.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2080…d262backed Yes43c70.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+79.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f19…bed4backed Yes41c70.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.