Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7259e86bfeb3429ce21bf7c643a0403d2822a1d5ecaa7b2d13b78dd941753a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 1,040$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 650.34$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 27c | 563.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 410.84$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 393.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 28c | 382.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 347.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 17c | 335.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 72c | 335.22$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 8c | 211.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 200.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 9c | 196.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 192.32$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 8c | 188.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed No | 72c | 180.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed No | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 27c | 129.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 28c | 119.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…6228backed Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 29c | 99.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 27c | 92.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…14dbbacked Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 71c | 62.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 71c | 62.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed No | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…efd8backed No | 71c | 54.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 52.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 28c | 38.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…7766backed No | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 21.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked No | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 73c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.