Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bcd706c71e8e8bfa36cb36885a4ef071a1f0ed68149b17efed133528c80e732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Carreno Bustaof Denis Shapovalov, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 56,583$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 30,065$15,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,532.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 15,068$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,301.07 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Denis Shapovalov | 0c | 15,024$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 70c | 15,000$10,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Denis Shapovalov | 36c | 8,670$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.72 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 8,062$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.81 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 30c | 8,021$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 6,910$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.72 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Denis Shapovalov | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.98 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 3c | 5,863$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 48c | 5,557$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.02 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 5,209$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.32 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 49c | 4,045$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.05 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denis Shapovalov | 1c | 3,974$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 3,366$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.05 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 3,360$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.56 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 46c | 3,229$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.24 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…aca3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 3,161$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 3,116$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 3,024$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.21 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…d262backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 2,399$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.31 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 43c | 2,301$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.97 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Denis Shapovalov | 13c | 2,300$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 69c | 2,277$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.87 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 48c | 2,234$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.67 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 50c | 2,196$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.08 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…786dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 71c | 2,114$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Denis Shapovalov | 67c | 2,098$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.89 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.4 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 49c | 1,934$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.6 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 1,771$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 59c | 1,745$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.91 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Denis Shapovalov | 68c | 1,717$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.31 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Denis Shapovalov | 1c | 1,243$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 74c | 1,233$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.09 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Denis Shapovalov | 1c | 1,193$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 51c | 1,175$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 30c | 1,153$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.63 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 14c | 1,011$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 78c | 1,006$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 1,001$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.59 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 957.34$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 46c | 951.49$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.28 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 949.82$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.29 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 875.56$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.56 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 20c | 872$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 845.45$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.67 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…3a34backed Denis Shapovalov | 50c | 824.71$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 817.73$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.67 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 768.29$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Denis Shapovalov | 42c | 751.35$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.17 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 28c | 750$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Denis Shapovalov | 47c | 721.06$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 719.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.99 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 710.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.45 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1c…a90abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 80c | 654.32$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 50c | 636$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Denis Shapovalov | 68c | 609.47$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.44 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…55edbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 604.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Denis Shapovalov | 73c | 596.37$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.35 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 578.83$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.95 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Denis Shapovalov | 44c | 569.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Denis Shapovalov | 68c | 552$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 550.61$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.36 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…ebe1backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 543.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 535.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.78 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Denis Shapovalov | 45c | 520.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 18c | 520$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 517.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.41 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Denis Shapovalov | 51c | 500.17$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Denis Shapovalov | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…54d4backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 46c | 435.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Denis Shapovalov | 50c | 427.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 427.25$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.03 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 79c | 413.87$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 42c | 410.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 49c | 406.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 404.24$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 77c | 403.75$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Denis Shapovalov | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 25c | 399.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.51 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Denis Shapovalov | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Denis Shapovalov | 69c | 368.96$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.89 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 54c | 364.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 46c | 344.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 344.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.74 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 341.8$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 47c | 341.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs BustaBusta won
- Set 2 Winner: Shapovalov vs BustaBusta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.