TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,613 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb729…4e2ebacked Bucks44c4,274$1,881 inLost-$1,880.61526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons56c3,452$1,933 inWon+$1,518.992,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Pistons62c945.68$586 inWon+$359.3657444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Bucks42c170.11$71 inLost-$70.7979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc559…4fe7backed Pistons59c57.57$34 inWon+$23.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2080…d262backed Pistons59c49.73$29 inWon+$20.472045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fc…d401backed Pistons56c42.16$24 inWon+$18.556068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Pistons60c24.4$15 inWon+$9.7623549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.