TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c25,593$13,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,747.5484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c10,888$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c9,985$5,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,525.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c7,464$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.892,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c6,711$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.0954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under45c6,035$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715.878350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under7c5,103$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30014946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c4,317$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.573,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Under45c3,911$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.947356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c3,030$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over51c2,193$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.0121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under46c2,082$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.737755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Under46c2,067$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.1630157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c2,037$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.072,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under4c2,008$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.732,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9203732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.968445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under45c1,934$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.358951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under1c1,837$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9210239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c1,688$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.4656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under48c1,453$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.5415849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over55c1,339$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.6440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Under46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5522157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c1,195$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.641,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,188$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.141,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over54c1,187$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.98948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5505427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over51c1,040$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.3618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47023348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5001…e597backed Under46c992.86$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over52c989.74$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.498652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Over52c971.16$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.7910252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under47c885.94$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.6410252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Under47c830.99$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.562166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c684.68$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.0295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under43c659.72$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.681,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over55c592.65$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.696656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c517.78$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.891,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under20c503.42$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.921,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over80c494$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.816159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under16c493.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.221,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under47c467.11$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3916743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.51,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.41,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c416.33$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.711,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under46c395.45$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Over54c372.06$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1512144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2211145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under45c322.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0521843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under5c322.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.971,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c291.92$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.221,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under47c290.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over70c277.77$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over52c265.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5412857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Over55c255.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.934942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under49c248.39$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1612540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over51c238.22$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over57c223.87$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.261,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under48c222.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under48c217.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under48c214.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3719550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0812752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.081,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.088052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0813153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0829849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0822047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under46c189.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4f…9787backed Under45c179.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.63812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under45c177.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.018762.1%54 W · 33 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6113655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9b…c04fbacked Under9c164.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Over52c164.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.321936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x217f…9812backed Over53c130.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.382433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under49c121.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.483756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under46c114.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.738439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x687f…5665backed Under46c109.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under46c108.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Under45c103.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.792065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3d…be68backed Under46c99.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under46c92.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Under25c90.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.541811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-79.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.34544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Over55c86.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0136842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.736852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under35c83.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x967e…2fb6backed Under27c82.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.152821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.