TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under51c29,835$15,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,175.481,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Under52c16,836$8,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,740.5342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over49c13,032$6,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,646.0729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c12,263$5,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,294.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c11,928$5,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,075.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c6,658$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.981,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c6,205$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.121,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under52c5,124$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.895341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under51c3,448$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.1332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over49c1,957$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.5317047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c1,027$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.791,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over49c983.37$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0120651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c907.08$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.611,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c907.08$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.611,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over49c907.08$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.6129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c876.08$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under52c813.03$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over49c791.35$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c720$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c683.82$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c599.97$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over53c433.3$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.161,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under52c411.6$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7922047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over49c395.04$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.472864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19410745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c316.12$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.951,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over49c290.27$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c286.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Under49c243.84$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.485650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over50c203.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8513441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under51c197.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c194.34$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9723650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9a…4d42backed Under51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.944953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1213148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under51c159.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5439448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c148.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c147.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6279549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over51c131.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2142853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c123$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Over49c108.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.144942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over50c98.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4511455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c98.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.042,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.544347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.538453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5611253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5938545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c81.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.841,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over47c80.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over47c80.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.849247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Over47c78.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.613647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.836852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over50c71.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5817350.3%87 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c69.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.151,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Under51c63.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5922454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under52c58.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.125354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.124858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1223549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over50c49.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9231953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Over49c49.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.995060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2532450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Under51c47.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2613151.9%68 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2711850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…db09backed Over51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.313177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x328c…975cbacked Over50c46.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.43066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1241…d325backed Over50c37.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.68156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick40cpaid-86.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Over50c36.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0610246.1%47 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Under52c35.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.699454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over49c35.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2410046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over49c35.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.923840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over49c33.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1321649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1337853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c26.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c25.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.131,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Under52c25.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3715053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Under51c22.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3915855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1c…231fbacked Under52c19.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.295251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over64c17.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1637848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.