TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-20.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Pistons56c120,452$67,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,003.3820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Bucks44c57,984$25,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,512.9656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons51c19,945$10,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,773.141,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks44c19,328$8,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,504.3235450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Bucks47c19,115$8,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,984.037650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bucks45c11,994$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,391.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks44c10,962$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.211,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Bucks52c10,267$5,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,339.0817055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks51c9,108$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,645.141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Bucks49c8,362$4,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,097.426043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons51c8,338$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31e…82cdbacked Bucks49c5,936$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.83875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+115.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Pistons48c4,981$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.155425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons56c4,269$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.141,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Bucks36c3,959$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.4911034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Pistons68c3,627$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.1543269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Bucks47c2,206$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.511,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Bucks49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Pistons51c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97011945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pistons49c1,993$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.3672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Pistons52c1,795$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.5332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Pistons70c1,717$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51513442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pistons49c1,188$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.7749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bucks28c1,148$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Bucks49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks50c1,063$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons52c1,056$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Bucks49c1,029$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.0918241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks49c997.51$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Pistons54c972.4$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.362948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks49c924.94$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.851,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Bucks54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.222159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Bucks43c897.18$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.7929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Bucks51c796.12$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.024639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons53c641.9$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.691,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons53c641.9$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons53c641.9$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons53c641.9$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.691,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons53c641.9$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pistons53c641.9$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pistons54c608.32$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pistons51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Pistons50c572.3$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons51c536$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks50c474.47$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Bucks45c442.67$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.25538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Bucks49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Pistons53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.711451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Bucks51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.125054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Bucks51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1226755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Bucks44c359.96$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.081,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks45c341.08$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.651,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Pistons55c299.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.996339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Bucks33c297.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7111759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Pistons55c286.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3210447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Pistons53c258.22$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bucks49c257.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Pistons52c253.11$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Pistons79c248.63$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Bucks44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf97d…b295backed Pistons57c221.63$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.32035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Bucks44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6427435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Bucks44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6412845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Bucks47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8235849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Pistons53c205.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Bucks50c204.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Pistons53c203.87$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Bucks48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Pistons57c198.11$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1916242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Bucks49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9418552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Pistons56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.685651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Bucks45c193.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.039139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Bucks51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0615055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Pistons57c187.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.775040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons52c186.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.251,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Pistons53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Pistons53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.185547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pistons53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons51c181.13$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c1…9c76backed Bucks54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.242035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Bucks25c177.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4633748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Pistons56c171.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.672842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Pistons56c148.04$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Bucks45c145.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Pistons51c135.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.327839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pistons54c134.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.641,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Pistons55c134$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4626639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Pistons53c128.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3216053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bucks44c127.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Pistons51c127$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7940440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Bucks40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.225657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Pistons69c119.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0410945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Pistons54c115$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Bucks42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2610745.8%49 W · 58 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Bucks48c113.02$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.044540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Pistons52c112.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7933251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Bucks44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3215352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Bucks44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.329848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x050d…d5b0backed Pistons52c107.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.487550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucks44c103.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.531,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.