TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-18.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked Bucks41c15,907$6,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,521.857653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons59c11,573$6,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,744.7411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46f…4ad4backed Pistons57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks17c5,500$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons55c3,977$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks44c3,813$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Bucks48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9825641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Pistons55c1,758$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.6516959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Bucks48c1,681$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.218948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks43c1,591$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.81,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Pistons65c1,499$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.6615753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Bucks46c1,300$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.992828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Bucks49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5394544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Bucks47c1,045$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.158652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Bucks45c1,014$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.1835049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Bucks48c1,001$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Bucks49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.993732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Bucks46c999.96$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.983040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks45c895.67$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.965,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Bucks37c781.09$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6514049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Pistons58c729.83$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7762546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Bucks46c651.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.555427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x57d5…4540backed Bucks48c638.9$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.67911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks44c627.45$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.081,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Pistons51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29423251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Pistons59c578.63$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.246656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Pistons53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5410947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…cdafbacked Pistons52c541.97$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Pistons54c486.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks35c480.5$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks46c462.89$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bucks46c453.02$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Bucks46c430$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Bucks46c417.04$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8417644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bucks43c370.64$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks43c345.68$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.641,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks43c345.68$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.641,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Bucks43c345.68$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks48c331.28$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.792,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Pistons59c330.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d1f…aaacbacked Pistons79c316.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Bucks42c304.54$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.916040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Bucks41c304$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b19…0c96backed Bucks48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Bucks45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Pistons59c292.62$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.971573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bucks35c292.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.232,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b8…bba3backed Bucks49c275.65$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Pistons53c275.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4529646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Bucks35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.112845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6097…8544backed Bucks49c265.81$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+126.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Bucks47c233.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe875…4c67backed Pistons53c226.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6900…fde1backed Bucks48c222.82$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Pistons64c218.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.71,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pistons57c203.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.61,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bucks49c201.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.881,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae46…a663backed Bucks49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Bucks46c193.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0210045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x289e…4df8backed Pistons52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.655955.9%33 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Bucks46c181.29$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pistons55c177.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Bucks49c177.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.953756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Bucks42c174.59$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.339345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Bucks49c168.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.424849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Pistons58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5928949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons59c159.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2523546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Pistons79c148.11$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.12878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks41c143.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Bucks45c133.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Pistons53c133.14$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.573151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa02…8094backed Pistons53c130.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.191471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Pistons79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2552461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Bucks43c115.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.841560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Bucks46c115.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3234641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Bucks43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2915352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bucks43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Bucks42c111.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7310456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e1…da1ebacked Pistons55c110.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Bucks43c110.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5642352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Bucks43c109.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Pistons55c102.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0119550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Pistons53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4738464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Bucks48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Bucks43c94.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5544347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Pistons58c84.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.415855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Bucks42c81.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0217041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Bucks48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Bucks43c78.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.89438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pistons57c74.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8311648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8314640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8312752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8336852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.838052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pistons54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.