NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027ec9e85f32434c804ebd06a3f50f7b1ac96dcdf6297d6bb3b69090f40d811b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 50c | 7,504$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Bucks | 50c | 5,657$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 41c | 5,559$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 51c | 3,423$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.78 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 47c | 3,407$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 55c | 3,164$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31e…82cdbacked Bucks | 47c | 2,369$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Bucks | 49c | 2,063$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.73 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Bucks | 53c | 1,697$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.91 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 46c | 1,657$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Bucks | 47c | 1,403$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.41 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Bucks | 44c | 1,136$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.35 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Bucks | 46c | 786.7$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Pistons | 52c | 748.67$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.83 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Bucks | 49c | 700.15$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.07 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Pistons | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Pistons | 70c | 565$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Bucks | 51c | 560.44$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bucks | 47c | 555.79$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 48c | 553.81$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Pistons | 51c | 535.18$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 49c | 499.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pistons | 52c | 458.41$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.04 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 76c | 453.95$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bucks | 47c | 450.79$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Pistons | 50c | 426.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 48c | 392.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Bucks | 53c | 391.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.41 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Pistons | 47c | 342.45$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Bucks | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 51c | 269.19$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Pistons | 55c | 260.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Bucks | 48c | 259.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Pistons | 55c | 226.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bucks | 45c | 221.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Pistons | 48c | 209.82$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Bucks | 49c | 200.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Bucks | 51c | 199.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 44c | 179.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Pistons | 52c | 179.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pistons | 52c | 179.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Bucks | 45c | 178.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Pistons | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Pistons | 53c | 155.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons | 52c | 154.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Pistons | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons | 52c | 124.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Bucks | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Pistons | 51c | 103.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Bucks | 47c | 100.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Bucks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Bucks | 45c | 99.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Pistons | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Bucks | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pistons | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pistons | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Pistons | 56c | 86.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bucks | 38c | 81.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Pistons | 54c | 77.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Pistons | 50c | 72.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Bucks | 45c | 72.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Bucks | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Bucks | 28c | 69.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pistons | 53c | 68.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 50c | 68.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Bucks | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 50c | 64.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Pistons | 80c | 61.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Bucks | 40c | 60.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Bucks | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Pistons | 52c | 57.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 56c | 55.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…f0a9backed Pistons | 50c | 54.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…8104backed Bucks | 51c | 53.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Pistons | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…3fb1backed Bucks | 45c | 49.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 47c | 48.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 53c | 46.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Pistons | 57c | 45.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Pistons | 54c | 45.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Bucks | 42c | 44.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Pistons | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bucks | 29c | 40.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Pistons | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Bucks | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…d8b0backed Pistons | 76c | 38.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Pistons | 74c | 37.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Pistons | 55c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Bucks | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Bucks | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Pistons | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks | 50c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Pistons | 49c | 34.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…883ebacked Bucks | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Pistons | 50c | 34.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Bucks | 45c | 34.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Bucks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-22.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.