Champions League · resolved market
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823d475895db3aa6945cd2aec430516e47ff54d7b4a98187669cf874e48ee226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 45c | 1,310$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.22 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 47c | 795.36$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.82 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 50c | 519.92$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Yes | 45c | 483.41$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Yes | 53c | 458.01$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked No | 50c | 435.53$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 52c | 416.86$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 51c | 381.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Yes | 53c | 239.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 45c | 222.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…03a9backed Yes | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 55c | 203.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Yes | 49c | 199.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 39c | 115.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 47c | 103.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Yes | 53c | 102.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 57c | 99.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…35abbacked No | 59c | 82.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 26c | 75.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…d262backed Yes | 44c | 57.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…9aa3backed Yes | 52c | 55.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…a04bbacked No | 57c | 51.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…0774backed Yes | 43c | 50.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 45c | 48.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Yes | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 49c | 44.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…e61cbacked Yes | 45c | 42.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…1f93backed Yes | 53c | 37.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…1559backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 52c | 34.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…4729backed Yes | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed Yes | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed Yes | 52c | 27.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed No | 57c | 25.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…25c2backed Yes | 43c | 24.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed No | 74c | 23.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…df3abacked Yes | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Jude Bellingham: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Luis Diaz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Michael Olise: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.