TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof Ursa, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Ursa21c5,291$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.218341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG79c4,214$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.0284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Ursa18c2,173$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0612426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed BIG39c2,050$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc190…312ebacked Ursa6c1,565$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked BIG79c1,116$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.424062.5%25 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed BIG79c1,057$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3549…a091backed Ursa16c1,050$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Ursa19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed BIG79c810.94$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Ursa14c799.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked BIG78c795.83$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.11968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed BIG78c735.28$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.965738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed Ursa15c629.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.97436.5%27 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Ursa19c581.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.579554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG68c566.6$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.361,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed Ursa33c562.35$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5715133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Ursa22c549.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1197625%19 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa25c522.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.064,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc93c…3c93backed BIG75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Ursa16c456.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed Ursa22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3215033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BIG75c423.09$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.716,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c55…7ef8backed Ursa19c413.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.59922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ursa8c349.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.710426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed BIG43c330.25$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.086142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Ursa14c327.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2826037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed BIG74c322.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.721,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Ursa21c320.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ursa20c303.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.611,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed BIG45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16533241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed BIG77c296.05$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.861,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Ursa15c288.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3280%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Ursa16c260.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8820646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407d…574bbacked Ursa30c259.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ursa6c255.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25cb…58afbacked BIG75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551a…1b33backed BIG79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Ursa16c234.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3938942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Ursa13c229.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7263038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2b…e467backed BIG80c229.22$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.471770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed BIG44c198$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4618545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ca…8a5cbacked Ursa22c195.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed BIG77c192$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5339245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Ursa21c190.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.011,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Ursa32c175.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.494856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Ursa9c174.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed BIG45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.529347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed BIG77c147.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0217758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cd5…0d08backed BIG78c146.81$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ursa21c144.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.762,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked BIG69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0936151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed BIG51c142$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7041436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…da18backed Ursa20c140.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x270f…eb5ebacked Ursa21c135.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.418058.8%47 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5757…cac7backed BIG79c128.27$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.941668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa24c125.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.732,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Ursa17c121.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1915641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed BIG78c117.4$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8325147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed BIG53c108$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2621739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Ursa21c102.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7211247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Ursa19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1940247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Ursa23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Ursa22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe574…68a7backed Ursa22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Ursa20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed BIG77c99.31$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8433451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed BIG44c99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2345240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed BIG80c98.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.763056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed BIG79c98.75$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.542,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ursa30c95.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked BIG78c94.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed BIG32c93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0936845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed BIG32c93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0957935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Ursa21c85.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6731532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…b1aebacked BIG52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.961233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed Ursa22c82.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1114630.8%45 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ursa27c79.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.582917.2%5 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Ursa20c76.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2315637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Ursa16c75.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Ursa29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.159755.7%54 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked BIG80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed BIG70c58.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.296949.3%34 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed BIG47c58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.027321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Ursa23c55.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7225045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ursa21c54.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.284,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Ursa20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108625.6%22 W · 64 L-13.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked BIG28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363622.2%8 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed BIG77c49.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3421752.5%114 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked Ursa24c45.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9135752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3621…2d2dbacked BIG69c44.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.679040%36 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x295a…5adabacked Ursa33c43.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.392437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked BIG78c43.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…66a8backed BIG70c43.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BIG78c40.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed BIG77c39.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8947856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked BIG79c39.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2928856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed BIG78c32.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1615965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked BIG79c26.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.515646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked BIG77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.