TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$351,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over51c88,147$44,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,525.515349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c53,319$20,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,764.872,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over61c37,133$22,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,514.162142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c11,929$6,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,680.2932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under47c11,543$5,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,117.631662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+64.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c9,882$5,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.511553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under44c9,702$4,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.499650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under43c9,596$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,421.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over53c9,168$4,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,859580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under44c9,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0404351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c8,939$4,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,248.4193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under49c6,747$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under44c6,565$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.362075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over59c6,036$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,559.162646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under45c5,696$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.0114752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under45c5,580$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.0819154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under45c5,574$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.2115244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c4,717$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.981,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under24c4,640$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.25560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under45c4,516$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.771747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c4,206$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.899652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over70c4,191$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.67345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.997560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.973354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Under49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c0…19a3backed Under45c3,903$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over47c3,863$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over53c3,788$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.567546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c3,640$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.5168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over80c3,333$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over71c3,273$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.173464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c3,187$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.6631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under42c2,873$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.126245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over20c2,557$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.77119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under50c2,466$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.235754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over52c2,459$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.813450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c2,427$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.521741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked Under49c2,424$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under43c2,340$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.1110451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c2,250$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.496567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c2,078$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.855550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under50c2,040$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.665162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9941954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over52c1,931$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.4811161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c1,736$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.1391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over74c1,544$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c1,537$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.9710650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over33c1,530$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.081050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under49c1,454$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.591560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8654…6d92backed Over53c1,450$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under49c1,375$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.318453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over77c1,274$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.279054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under49c1,187$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under48c1,176$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under39c1,015$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.3914936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over49c999.92$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.962744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under49c985.62$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.897548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under50c963.54$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.8911346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.68757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over52c925.32$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under49c914.84$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c896.44$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under51c827.4$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.51952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under50c811.19$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.861675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under45c795.09$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.32347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over79c758.76$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.034524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under49c711.72$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.974365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under28c683.43$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.071877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c683.16$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over80c618.09$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.981361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over48c611.78$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under46c610.01$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.42133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3127558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under49c592.11$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.292365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Under73c583.54$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.56366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2913663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c560.07$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8543058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over59c557.5$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0518125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over56c528.28$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.965242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over34c526.93$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over56c518.04$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Under23c498.59$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.141070%7 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick28cpaid+223%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under49c494.57$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.234654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under49c492.46$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.156063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c490.74$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.365450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under45c483.5$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.932466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under40c482.53$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6312351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c459.9$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0438547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over66c446.14$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.151540%6 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over26c443.51$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.323565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.82050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under48c409.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.24658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over62c409.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.882152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under74c399.08$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.765166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under49c395.65$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.787163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under49c395.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.775170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under51c394$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.