Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad743a028ead32ace4d556bd4b85f5c2e5508e9302883a3fc9ca92444c904c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 10,618$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…98e9backed Over | 80c | 3,123$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.87 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 20c | 1,119$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 26c | 1,072$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.11 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 76c | 889.11$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 21c | 745.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 22c | 699.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 77c | 640.95$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 19c | 589.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 20c | 583.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 18c | 487.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 20c | 449.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 375$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 21c | 356.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 25c | 355.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 79c | 307.16$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Over | 77c | 284.33$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 78c | 256.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 252.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Under | 24c | 219.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 25c | 201.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Under | 24c | 199.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Over | 76c | 194.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 76c | 194.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 20c | 182.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 24c | 131.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…acc5backed Over | 78c | 127.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 76c | 109.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 76c | 109.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 76c | 109.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 76c | 109.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 76c | 109.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 76c | 109.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under | 24c | 93.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 20c | 89.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 24c | 85.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 16c | 68.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 24c | 67.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 21c | 64.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 24c | 63.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…e9c9backed Over | 79c | 63.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Under | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 25c | 62.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 20c | 59.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 80c | 55.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Under | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 77c | 39.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 36.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…b052backed Over | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Over | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…65babacked Over | 78c | 29.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Over | 76c | 28.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Over | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7b…c2f4backed Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…f180backed Over | 77c | 24.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Over | 76c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 78c | 17.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 80c | 15.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Over | 76c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.