TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a14…6cc5backed Over0c22,371$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under36c14,843$5,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c9,498$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.812,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea03…a5a3backed Over30c4,788$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c4,555$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.413863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over41c3,062$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.267552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c2,329$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.41,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over16c1,509$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.834524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over42c1,475$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.399650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over41c1,430$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.4519154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over24c1,235$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.492842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under67c1,138$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.211070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over55c1,010$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over64c901.42$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.945162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c855.7$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over48c778.49$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.683565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over64c762.3$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.874365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over65c754.23$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.4911346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under66c660.38$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5312657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over34c621.44$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.293013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under69c568.93$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.372347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over65c477.08$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3915244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.27424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over65c470.19$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9314752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.913348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over64c382.19$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.65450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under67c355.4$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.857546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under51c344.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3910759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over16c339.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.576063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Under53c301.26$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over51c293.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Over33c291.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Under68c289.88$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.76875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4616526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over33c231.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2432854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over40c225.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2710451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over66c223.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.944654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Under70c220$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under67c219$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2714258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked Under56c202.88$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Under48c202.01$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.13850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under70c197.63$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.782369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over48c196.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Over48c188.11$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over52c186.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.761553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.823353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under53c176.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.181250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over41c162.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Under68c161.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.791566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa83d…b699backed Under44c156.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9619353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over36c125.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over47c119.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.365721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under70c106.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.994555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over15c104.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under71c104.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over66c103.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.572650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over33c102$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.661315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-66.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over51c99.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.061553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under70c94.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.463953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over48c93.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under62c92.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6663…0696backed Over31c92.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd28…50adbacked Under54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under53c89.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.863164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Under42c88.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.261650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under72c85.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under61c85.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over46c84.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4612351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under59c84.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8523345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under72c81.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.944557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.820452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a3…1701backed Over64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over70c76.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.332744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.142268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over70c70.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.13663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over70c64.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1816340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c63.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over37c63.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.48242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed Under48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Over71c58.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.612075%15 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over26c56.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.455354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over43c56.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.155726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under53c54.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e3…242cbacked Over39c54.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over48c53.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under69c53.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3165254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.24988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+67.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.54650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under70c49.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e4…4b21backed Under53c47.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Over32c44.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under53c44.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.043663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Over60c44.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over28c44.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58110%0 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.