Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x757b4897291ea494400ecc03ca6472d376a300e3fff23d7b1974a9280ea67ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genoa CFCof Juventus FC, Genoa CFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd035…f165backed Genoa CFC | 44c | 460.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Genoa CFC | 78c | 379.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Juventus FC | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Juventus FC | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Genoa CFC | 52c | 246.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Genoa CFC | 42c | 238.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juventus FC | 28c | 214.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Juventus FC | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Juventus FC | 25c | 131.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Juventus FC | 52c | 118.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Juventus FC | 29c | 108.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Juventus FC | 41c | 103.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d3…4cb9backed Genoa CFC | 79c | 96.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Juventus FC | 26c | 92.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Juventus FC | 41c | 90.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Juventus FC | 46c | 87.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Juventus FC | 60c | 81.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Genoa CFC | 74c | 71.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Genoa CFC | 77c | 70.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…9fbdbacked Genoa CFC | 79c | 62.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…e874backed Genoa CFC | 79c | 58.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Juventus FC | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Juventus FC | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Genoa CFC | 74c | 36.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Juventus FC | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Juventus FC | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Genoa CFC | 55c | 18.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Genoa CFC | 76c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)this page
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.