Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679f9b371bae9a8f7a853fd4d3c90d2a71ac43720400ada116e392a3805901a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 2,393$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 2,276$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 56c | 1,082$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 73c | 1,011$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 12c | 878.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 873.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 574.36$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 22c | 480.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 55c | 405.12$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 56c | 347.6$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 316.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 70c | 240.01$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Over | 22c | 225.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked Under | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Under | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 129.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 27c | 111.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 101.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 29c | 72.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 33c | 68.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 73c | 63.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…19a3backed Under | 54c | 61.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 69c | 55.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 70c | 54.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 80c | 51.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…7e9bbacked Under | 76c | 51.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Over | 46c | 47.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Under | 59c | 46.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 30c | 35.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 65c | 33.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 40c | 32.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 71c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 70c | 22.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 56c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…4786backed Under | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 56c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Under | 56c | 18.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 79c | 18.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…616ebacked Under | 80c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.