TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Furyof Fury, Makhmudov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$527,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$549,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Makhmudov16c222,106$35,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,536.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Makhmudov17c22,140$3,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,763.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186b…641cbacked Makhmudov2c20,942$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Makhmudov16c13,419$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Makhmudov16c11,431$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.33330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Makhmudov17c10,557$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.17333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Makhmudov17c9,502$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3df…6f87backed Makhmudov18c7,657$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Makhmudov15c6,370$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Makhmudov16c5,902$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8260…a14bbacked Makhmudov18c5,282$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Makhmudov10c4,994$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Makhmudov14c4,141$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.53812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Makhmudov15c3,906$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Makhmudov4c3,446$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Makhmudov9c3,426$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Makhmudov6c2,923$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Makhmudov17c2,808$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Makhmudov1c2,495$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed Makhmudov17c2,376$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Makhmudov14c2,107$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Makhmudov9c2,087$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Makhmudov17c2,000$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.944148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5602…1480backed Makhmudov14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfea…c33dbacked Makhmudov17c1,706$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Makhmudov17c1,174$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Makhmudov15c1,016$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.32520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-39.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Makhmudov18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Makhmudov17c950.2$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Makhmudov15c949$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bc…8ce0backed Makhmudov15c901.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4c…14ddbacked Makhmudov17c834.22$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf388…cc86backed Makhmudov11c823.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab4…0881backed Makhmudov18c779.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Makhmudov16c768.03$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c6…a0e5backed Makhmudov3c745.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d59…58f2backed Makhmudov9c726.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa56…5519backed Makhmudov10c677.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Makhmudov17c653.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.141729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc948…59b7backed Makhmudov17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…2fffbacked Makhmudov17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd709…c52ebacked Makhmudov17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f58…5bf5backed Makhmudov17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e8…8398backed Makhmudov17c556.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Makhmudov17c497.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d7…6f1bbacked Makhmudov17c471.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013a…a44bbacked Makhmudov16c445.48$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…c0a4backed Makhmudov19c435.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3b…f9bdbacked Makhmudov12c425.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5310…cef0backed Makhmudov17c419.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3615…60dbbacked Makhmudov16c415.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Makhmudov14c414.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8a…2ad7backed Makhmudov15c401.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.780%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Makhmudov17c391.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29a…f3e4backed Makhmudov17c389.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c37…25c2backed Makhmudov17c363.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a9…c76ebacked Makhmudov17c331.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb968…0a63backed Makhmudov17c324.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d9…5c68backed Makhmudov17c317.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf058…e173backed Makhmudov12c310.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Makhmudov5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed49…2511backed Makhmudov12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40b3…35a2backed Makhmudov17c299.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Makhmudov16c296.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Makhmudov15c292.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Makhmudov10c290$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Makhmudov19c280.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2860%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed9…8685backed Makhmudov17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fe…627fbacked Makhmudov17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfb…e739backed Makhmudov17c278.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Makhmudov15c266.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b3…6285backed Makhmudov18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Makhmudov17c257.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880c…e156backed Makhmudov9c247.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42fc…4927backed Makhmudov22c228.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44e0…339dbacked Makhmudov17c223.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaca…21aabacked Makhmudov17c223.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Makhmudov6c217.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2864…6d24backed Makhmudov16c215.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Makhmudov15c213.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a5…132bbacked Makhmudov5c208.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9523…7309backed Makhmudov6c194.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec36…2f15backed Makhmudov16c192.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d51dbacked Makhmudov6c191.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb3…6330backed Makhmudov17c190.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Makhmudov17c182.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6f…32c8backed Makhmudov14c171.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a75…edd6backed Makhmudov17c167.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…d8abbacked Makhmudov17c164.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa2…b597backed Makhmudov18c164.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb573…092dbacked Makhmudov15c160.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032b…603dbacked Makhmudov18c158.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x940a…4fd2backed Makhmudov12c157.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+249.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de4…316ebacked Makhmudov19c150.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Makhmudov17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Makhmudov10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-73.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Makhmudov16c149.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Makhmudov15c149.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab1…5d7dbacked Makhmudov16c148.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…14ddbacked Makhmudov16c148.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.