TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Clippers, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers51c190,840$97,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,051.3936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers49c95,079$46,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,581.021,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers50c83,725$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,124.551,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers50c54,394$27,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,242.443148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Clippers50c19,400$9,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,70020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers50c16,490$8,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,24574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers49c12,188$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,216.784,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Clippers49c11,869$5,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,815.8612450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Clippers50c11,330$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,664.824045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers48c9,229$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Trail Blazers49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers63c6,849$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers51c6,304$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Clippers50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Clippers51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0406746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers49c3,597$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Clippers50c3,400$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.1459140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Clippers48c3,112$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.9220843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers50c2,955$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.971,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Trail Blazers50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Clippers50c2,449$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.0114940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Clippers50c2,281$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.722356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers45c2,040$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers46c2,019$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.185,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Trail Blazers51c1,941$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.1947748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Clippers50c1,746$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8736543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Trail Blazers63c1,698$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.0317247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers50c1,201$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Clippers50c1,164$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58212542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers49c1,143$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Clippers48c1,115$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Clippers54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers49c1,079$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.472,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Clippers51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Clippers50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4857337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Clippers53c911.29$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.985158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Clippers50c855.93$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9617850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Trail Blazers50c837.23$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed9…8bdcbacked Clippers55c831.47$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.311070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Clippers21c754.34$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.71,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Trail Blazers49c568.38$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.541,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Clippers54c560$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.411556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Clippers50c540$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Clippers50c529.17$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers50c523.8$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.91,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Trail Blazers48c504.34$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.991,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Clippers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Clippers51c445.45$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Trail Blazers48c406.77$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.522948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Trail Blazers48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9121950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Clippers55c397.54$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4742845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Clippers52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2429554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Clippers55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.610249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Trail Blazers50c349.25$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.852040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers47c317.59$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.411,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Trail Blazers80c311.15$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Clippers54c304.47$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Clippers51c284.02$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8515446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers51c279.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Trail Blazers50c262.16$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0829344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Clippers50c232.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.423446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Trail Blazers51c220.81$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.214243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Trail Blazers52c215.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Trail Blazers47c211.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2519348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers51c210.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.633,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Clippers50c207.58$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers53c206.47$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Trail Blazers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Trail Blazers48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Clippers50c192.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Trail Blazers60c170$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Clippers50c162.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.469040%36 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Trail Blazers63c155.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Trail Blazers50c145$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.537845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers50c143.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.533,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Clippers58c134.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9881845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Clippers53c125.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7615649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Trail Blazers49c125.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.142,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Clippers55c123.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1172250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Clippers55c120.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1623143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb1…7ef7backed Trail Blazers46c113.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.353441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1131…21d6backed Clippers50c112.07$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Trail Blazers48c110.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.541,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc510…065dbacked Clippers19c109.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.78944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers25c108.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers53c104.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.142,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Trail Blazers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Clippers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Clippers55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5238261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Trail Blazers51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5666153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Trail Blazers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.55850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Clippers52c87.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.651,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Clippers57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7138152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Trail Blazers48c82.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8248451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Trail Blazers47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.448152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Clippers54c75.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9313052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.