TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Over50c137,737$68,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,687.3415952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34b…3b60backed Under51c130,139$66,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,084.511346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over49c77,338$37,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,895.6966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under50c36,065$18,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,032.316640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under51c12,139$6,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,948.1125753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under49c11,964$5,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,067.866746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Over29c9,999$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under71c9,807$6,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.281,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over14c8,760$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.629349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over50c5,158$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,578.8619754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c4,374$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.7131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c3,926$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.295750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c3,270$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.561,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c2,760$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over26c2,590$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.3918536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under49c2,450$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.3314940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7914448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c1,885$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.61,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,782$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.72,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c1,758$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.3487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under51c1,729$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.1414355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over46c1,697$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.927349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c1,583$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.171,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under50c1,527$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.710651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under49c978.42$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.420353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under51c967.39$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.0248751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under54c961.44$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under50c935.27$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.647143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under49c833.68$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.1843052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over17c671.19$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.837152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c611.1$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Over39c598.24$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5212058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Under49c582.13$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.895034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over53c548.66$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5713148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25515543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under52c476.52$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c473.81$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under67c446.47$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over74c426.13$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9560444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under49c388.35$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1114243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19421653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under65c349.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c327.38$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.611,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bc…5734backed Over28c327.05$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Over40c308.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.392339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Under49c301.57$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.462937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under60c299.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3515543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under74c255.16$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b54…dc2bbacked Under54c228.26$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over16c226.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over53c220.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6250351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7619756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c194.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0866046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over42c191.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.482528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Over20c189.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7410943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under74c187.71$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under49c177.84$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.721347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under50c172.66$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3313345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over17c156.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2633030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c152.18$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.094,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Under51c142.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.714854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over50c141.35$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6721550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over50c138.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3417547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under61c135.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.161,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1d…6fd3backed Over55c134.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over23c133.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.110623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d75…1af0backed Over53c132.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Under66c131.03$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5513953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c129.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.262,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over34c115.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3618844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Over42c109.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.045736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c107.22$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.471,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under50c101.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2662047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over50c98.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3936…9d9abacked Over41c89.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c83.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.972,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under49c79.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7922942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over25c78.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5831151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over48c68.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.948250%41 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Under75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.422369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over51c65.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.491,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under42c64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under49c62.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.876336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a14…cab1backed Over36c58.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.755844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Over50c57.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.566154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab7…1ae5backed Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.147544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under64c53.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd06…d1f3backed Over25c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.