TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c10,445$5,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,233.571,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c7,371$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under62c2,678$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.624269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c1,992$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.91,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over40c1,791$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over41c1,348$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under56c1,049$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6716555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c938.35$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.055050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over60c878$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under61c803.14$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.98859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over45c769.81$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.421,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c579.34$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.691,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c572.35$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over58c539.84$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5144252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c495.15$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.435,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over52c472.48$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over39c435.72$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.932,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over34c380.17$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7620353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over44c369.53$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over50c358.23$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over52c344.93$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4953348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c343.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.921,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c335.29$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c324.33$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.262,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over52c323.63$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2913349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Under61c318.26$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.892060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over49c294.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.275048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under56c252.46$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over69c247.95$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6940344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over45c232.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over48c221.82$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under56c194.71$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5738464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over38c178.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over38c176.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.941,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over50c158.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over53c152.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1314640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over41c148.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.71,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over39c145.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.611,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over45c130.89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over22c110.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c99.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.013,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.477248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7911354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over45c95.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c93.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.282,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under54c92.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.669049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6477…4243backed Over23c83.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.073033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under31c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbf…657bbacked Over38c68.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.051258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c63.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.252,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c59.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under59c58.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c55.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.293,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under25c52.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over49c48.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8257051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under57c48.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over52c45.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8616046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under31c44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under55c41.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8332752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over28c40.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3412227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under61c39.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.235048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over53c38.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6413541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over52c37.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3341449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Under55c35.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.629552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under48c34.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1113857.2%79 W · 59 L+13.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over48c33.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3914264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under55c30.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5354854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over46c29.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5259650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Over46c29.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3525143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9940548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e34…57ffbacked Under55c28.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c26.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0310850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c24.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under61c24.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5656454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Over48c23.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.233033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over49c21.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6627539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under55c21.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6821852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9681…9199backed Under55c19.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.875754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…b916backed Under56c19.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under78c18.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.935250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c18.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.