TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Clippers, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed Trail Blazers59c8,215$4,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.1842348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers31c6,908$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.793,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Trail Blazers59c6,103$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.428361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers39c5,504$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.882,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Clippers40c3,479$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.721,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Clippers47c3,090$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.320843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers35c2,597$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers53c2,469$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.322,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers41c2,294$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers42c2,253$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.114,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Trail Blazers54c1,960$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.261850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers59c1,689$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers42c1,569$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Trail Blazers66c1,469$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.354671.7%33 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Trail Blazers55c1,429$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Clippers46c1,262$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.567248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers41c997.29$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.021,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers55c907.03$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.71,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers56c888.06$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Clippers45c659.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2972138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Trail Blazers56c614.15$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Trail Blazers56c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4921950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Clippers2c511.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4928537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Trail Blazers59c487.7$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Clippers41c454.84$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Clippers40c407.71$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5e4…d4b6backed Trail Blazers73c399.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Clippers3c355.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Trail Blazers70c327.17$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Trail Blazers53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Clippers39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11720353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Clippers43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5852146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Clippers39c203.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Trail Blazers66c199$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6612540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Clippers44c169.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4114445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Clippers43c162.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Clippers44c158.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7422351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Clippers44c136.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9618744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Trail Blazers65c125.16$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8161957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Trail Blazers58c114.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.114243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Clippers43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Clippers47c106.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.063452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Clippers45c103.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5615650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Trail Blazers58c96.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.621,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers58c96.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.621,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Clippers41c93.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Clippers43c89.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6328949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Trail Blazers70c86.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.094852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Clippers45c85.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2936153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Clippers44c77.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0220249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Trail Blazers59c76.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.435048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Trail Blazers59c76.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4313349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Clippers43c74.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8737853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb7…d873backed Trail Blazers56c64.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.112245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers45c61.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Clippers42c59.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Clippers40c57.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.221,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Clippers38c55.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Clippers29c54.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.878134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Trail Blazers56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9517047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Clippers27c51.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Clippers44c48.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2636749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers35c47.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Trail Blazers56c47.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Clippers35c46.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2513346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Clippers45c44.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Trail Blazers65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Clippers38c37.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.349735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers56c36.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.012,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Clippers45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330d…f0c4backed Clippers38c32.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Clippers35c31.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Clippers44c26.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4840048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Clippers44c26.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4826147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Trail Blazers58c23.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0153349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Clippers47c22.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers60c18.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Trail Blazers74c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8842434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Trail Blazers75c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.