TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under53c29,998$15,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,191.661,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under52c3,634$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Over48c3,617$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.092832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c3,236$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.041,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under52c3,175$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.7710651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over49c3,005$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.5213946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,799$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over47c2,532$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.0129245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under53c2,341$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.2614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c2,155$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.032,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c2,059$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c1,941$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.3887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c1,939$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.0964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c1,762$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,500$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over47c1,352$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.6120352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over50c1,269$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.6220051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over47c1,173$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.4121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Under52c1,167$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.3619346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under52c967.54$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.4225753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over47c950.43$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.341,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over48c926.42$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.688444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under53c850$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over47c849.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over47c842.25$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.031,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over47c765.59$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8324151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c745$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.752,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Under54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32243352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over47c668.89$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under52c657.79$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7416946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over54c588.84$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.973151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c582.75$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c580.92$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over47c565.02$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over47c544.46$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.917850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under53c534.8$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c472.4$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c470.45$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over47c440.95$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8913349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c403.66$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9bb…4066backed Over50c338.04$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under45c306.23$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.432,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over50c302.11$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over48c299.45$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c284.91$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.551,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over36c264.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.691,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over47c244.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.856546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over48c222.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1444551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over19c220.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b54…dc2bbacked Over44c213.06$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over47c183.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under45c178.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over48c170.51$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c4f…59e0backed Over68c168.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over48c168.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over48c155.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5120237.1%75 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over48c148.71$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over47c139.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.821743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over52c130.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9814444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over49c128.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0182440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over54c126.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.061,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over21c126.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2331151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under46c123.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4837665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c119.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.75,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over48c116.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over48c116.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over50c98.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3233748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Under54c96.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8822454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over16c89.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.448937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c88.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over45c86.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0387744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c79.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.071,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c72.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…de82backed Under53c64.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under53c63.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over47c61.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.059455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Over48c60.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.062433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.067354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e1…6cd4backed Under53c60.41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Over50c59.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.598248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c6c…0882backed Over48c56.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.03887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.42per pick46cpaid+102.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe471…3610backed Over48c54.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2e…9fd2backed Over48c54.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c54.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.452,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1717047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…24f2backed Under53c52.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adc…54e1backed Over48c51.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under53c50.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over52c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under47c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4932752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Over52c46.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.286854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under53c43.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c43.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3633442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under76c40.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9415663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf50f…8cdabacked Under53c40.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c40.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.281,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.