TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,886 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7002…395cbacked Clippers70c491.32$345 inLost-$345.43250%16 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers39c476.63$186 inWon+$290.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Trail Blazers49c395.67$194 inWon+$201.798657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Clippers37c228.11$84 inLost-$84.2376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Clippers56c182.08$102 inLost-$101.872231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Clippers31c132.64$41 inLost-$40.661,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Trail Blazers47c87.61$41 inWon+$46.4357444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Trail Blazers57c70.26$40 inWon+$29.9937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6477…4243backed Trail Blazers60c60.33$36 inWon+$24.223033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Trail Blazers57c59.3$34 inWon+$25.3819650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Clippers66c47.5$31 inLost-$31.356553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Trail Blazers42c44.67$19 inWon+$25.8942744.5%190 W · 237 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Trail Blazers34c41.88$14 inWon+$27.7532654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers36c39.37$14 inWon+$25.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741b…4a79backed Clippers64c38.52$25 inLost-$24.651040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52a8…83f2backed Clippers63c33.96$21 inLost-$21.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Trail Blazers56c32.13$18 inWon+$14.1440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Trail Blazers57c29.72$17 inWon+$12.788037.5%30 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a28…d93cbacked Clippers48c24.56$12 inLost-$11.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d6…6940backed Clippers64c24.46$16 inLost-$15.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Trail Blazers63c19.56$12 inWon+$7.247149.3%35 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.