TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Over45c61,576$27,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,709.3829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c60,160$33,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,764.881,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c7,981$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,070.071,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b83…59f7backed Under49c5,087$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c3,622$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.243,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c3,510$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c3,239$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Over17c3,163$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.54845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c3,092$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.793,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over51c2,912$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.0222752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over46c2,546$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.0828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c2,240$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.071,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,227$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Over14c1,979$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5912058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Under49c1,780$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.893745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,589$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c1,572$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.6158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over16c1,513$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3526131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under53c1,332$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.2387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over13c1,324$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6528537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over27c1,321$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c1,258$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c1,253$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.692,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,167$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Over17c1,149$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.993043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under49c1,082$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9110556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under49c1,080$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.7525951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over52c973.2$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.0610251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under51c951.91$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8320846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b54…dc2bbacked Over22c908.18$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c845.84$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.921,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under50c682.69$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.2418748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over15c632.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.97444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c629.27$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.122,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under50c588.04$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5614243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under49c581.64$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under79c497.8$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7460444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c490.23$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.154,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over50c441.11$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3227745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c428.87$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7217349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under50c408.86$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under50c398.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.710943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under51c396.82$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.448646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over51c332.15$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Over10c298.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.661040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under48c294.37$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0728554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Over49c270.36$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.452937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c241.89$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over14c237$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3312227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under50c228.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4613352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c219.74$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Over46c208.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.783138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9928852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c199.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Over12c198.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.782128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under51c198$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0214145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.965649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under50c182.69$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2716450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under50c161$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Under56c154.39$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.934734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over14c145.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under50c139.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8418744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under52c137.27$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Under49c131.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2411050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over50c128.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over45c127.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4432952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2519166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c123.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0960346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over24c121.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8822336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c116.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over52c115.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9426450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under79c112.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.626861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c110.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.581,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under45c105.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8387744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4423840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over51c95.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5115650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under53c91.86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under50c91.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5936153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c88.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.72,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under49c87.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.516651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1241…d325backed Over46c85.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick40cpaid-86.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c85.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.123,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under49c85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over45c83.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4356547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9368…483fbacked Over17c81.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over46c81.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under48c80.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7313148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Under49c79.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.366159%36 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over51c76.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1116245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.259958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Under49c72.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.085143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c71.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.342,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over20c67.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.669641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Over22c66.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.