TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Clippers, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$604,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Trail Blazers52c372,535$194,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177,851.3520545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Clippers52c106,703$55,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,321.516841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Clippers48c82,267$39,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,488.0424650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers47c58,280$27,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,364.4136549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Trail Blazers48c50,584$24,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,325.2212639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Trail Blazers48c50,000$24,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,90049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Clippers48c44,363$21,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,314.216640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Trail Blazers51c22,679$11,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,115.7632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Clippers48c15,057$7,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,227.437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06a…dbeebacked Clippers48c12,110$5,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,812.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Clippers48c10,979$5,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,300.9717349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Clippers48c8,288$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.223941%16 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers48c8,142$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.182,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers51c7,984$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,912.161,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Trail Blazers53c7,683$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.861,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Clippers49c7,650$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.671546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Clippers48c7,275$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,467.7514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Clippers48c6,899$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.35754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers33c6,392$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab47…33f5backed Clippers49c5,935$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Clippers49c5,371$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.775655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers51c5,204$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.371,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Clippers47c5,047$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.0918349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d1…4c30backed Clippers48c5,046$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.03742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x836c…1a8abacked Clippers49c4,756$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Clippers47c4,551$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Clippers47c4,095$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.8830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Clippers48c4,037$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.68647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers54c4,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers47c3,949$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers49c3,797$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.251,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2020…4a10backed Trail Blazers48c3,580$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.581250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…056dbacked Clippers52c3,559$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad8…fe39backed Clippers52c3,544$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2369…5174backed Trail Blazers48c3,524$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Trail Blazers54c3,478$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60015850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Clippers47c3,284$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.311735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers47c3,277$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Clippers47c3,142$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.294535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Trail Blazers53c3,113$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.1922948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Clippers47c2,943$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.3614245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers46c2,903$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.2914448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Clippers47c2,898$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.5910651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Clippers49c2,881$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.4614455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Clippers51c2,855$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.920843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Clippers51c2,796$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.7919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers47c2,435$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.4570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Clippers50c2,411$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.7358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers47c2,322$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.452,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Clippers48c2,168$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.7231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Clippers48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9925641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Trail Blazers50c1,936$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.264944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Clippers47c1,870$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.4219745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Clippers46c1,848$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.856746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Trail Blazers52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.7541652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Clippers45c1,454$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.3912945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers47c1,318$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Trail Blazers53c1,284$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.255850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Clippers47c1,224$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.9854246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4829…ef84backed Clippers46c1,138$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Clippers53c1,127$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.6420846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers49c1,111$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Trail Blazers47c1,111$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.812356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Clippers47c1,105$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.331,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Clippers53c1,072$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.13151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Trail Blazers50c1,055$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6820647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Clippers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.83850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Trail Blazers53c1,011$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.281,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Trail Blazers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49018651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Clippers50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers49c998.48$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.262,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers47c984.78$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Clippers51c927.12$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.836858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Clippers47c861.33$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.827642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers49c808$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9245151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Trail Blazers54c740$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.428537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers48c728.02$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Trail Blazers54c720.3$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Clippers48c664.28$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Clippers49c659.05$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Trail Blazers52c654.59$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers52c647.02$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.0448957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Clippers51c646.42$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6718456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Clippers48c629.6$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Trail Blazers54c609.51$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2221152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers48c605.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.641,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Clippers48c563.65$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers46c559.26$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.874,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Clippers48c539.71$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Trail Blazers49c527.22$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers47c510.51$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Clippers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Clippers47c491.93$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2141742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Trail Blazers52c485.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.098951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Clippers48c446.88$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Clippers48c442.34$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Clippers48c434.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb0…1abbbacked Clippers47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.