Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc68a09ebb3f9aba4a0824a05bd451e827579b459fa3d72d381936ed027556a7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab83…5415backed Yes | 0c | 73,740$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 6c | 26,191$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.48 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 6c | 8,719$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.83 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed Yes | 1c | 6,303$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 5c | 5,217$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.49 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 1c | 4,201$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…c7c2backed Yes | 1c | 3,218$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 1c | 2,653$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…f861backed Yes | 1c | 2,237$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…f329backed Yes | 7c | 1,959$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0d…ab83backed Yes | 1c | 1,875$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,752$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,741$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…f1c5backed Yes | 4c | 1,687$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…c761backed Yes | 4c | 1,678$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,671$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…e7acbacked Yes | 4c | 1,610$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 6c | 1,587$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 11.5%15 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 5c | 1,202$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed Yes | 6c | 709.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…66eabacked Yes | 6c | 699.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…2a12backed Yes | 6c | 594.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…ec1bbacked Yes | 4c | 535.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 6c | 506.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed Yes | 2c | 501.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed Yes | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3d…59a0backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 5c | 497.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Yes | 4c | 460.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…b2f5backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 7c | 414.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Yes | 6c | 390.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 6c | 384.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Yes | 3c | 361.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…3706backed Yes | 6c | 343.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 7c | 342$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…ae3cbacked Yes | 5c | 321.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…6a6cbacked Yes | 6c | 318.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 6c | 314$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…3627backed Yes | 4c | 294.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 6c | 284.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…3ce8backed Yes | 7c | 212.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…1c40backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.