Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6539e18b791b6107030843e6347040fb5e17211c9ba63b79db8bc0f162627821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 769 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 46c | 72,024$33,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,373.88 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 42c | 64,788$27,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,283.08 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 41c | 47,555$19,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,546.32 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Yes | 58c | 32,797$19,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,774.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 61c | 25,050$15,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,769.67 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 57c | 21,584$12,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 20,930$14,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.74 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 65c | 18,109$11,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,401.46 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 17,863$11,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.06 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Yes | 62c | 16,473$10,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.74 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 55c | 15,200$8,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed No | 38c | 14,974$5,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.54 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 52c | 12,184$6,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.19 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 34c | 11,821$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.13 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…add7backed Yes | 56c | 11,065$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 53c | 9,582$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.9 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 56c | 8,462$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.47 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Yes | 58c | 7,349$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.59 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 38c | 6,055$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 11c | 6,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…5903backed Yes | 56c | 5,014$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.36 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…d174backed Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 61c | 4,869$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.91 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 62c | 4,734$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.04 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 63c | 4,669$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.33 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 4,219$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.9 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 51c | 4,011$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.43 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f26dbacked Yes | 58c | 3,800$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,590$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.4 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 42c | 3,528$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.12 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 58c | 3,419$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.05 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 51c | 3,198$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 48c | 3,174$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 57c | 3,114$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 62c | 2,972$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.06 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…a5cfbacked Yes | 53c | 2,829$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 42c | 2,768$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.67 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 2,750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…1795backed Yes | 58c | 2,745$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed No | 52c | 2,712$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.81 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 70c | 2,689$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.74 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 2,650$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.28 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 39c | 2,636$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.72 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 2,541$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 34c | 2,497$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.11 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 34c | 2,443$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.12 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…6c7bbacked No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 67c | 2,174$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.62 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…695bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,992$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.29 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 48c | 1,872$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 1,764$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 37c | 1,734$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.72 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 58c | 1,689$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 46c | 1,643$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.62 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Yes | 52c | 1,633$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 47c | 1,591$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.55 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 42c | 1,531$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,516$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.42 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,513$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.64 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…8c8bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 42c | 1,429$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.67 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 41c | 1,415$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.1 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,355$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.85 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 67c | 1,314$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.08 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed No | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 54c | 1,225$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.36 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 30c | 1,100$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 47c | 1,097$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.81 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 37c | 1,092$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.57 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…6f3fbacked No | 37c | 1,020$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 71c | 1,019$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.07 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…466abacked Yes | 61c | 1,010$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…8536backed Yes | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…1066backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 57c | 999.99$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…3773backed No | 46c | 999.87$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…e168backed Yes | 63c | 996.17$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.