Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb021bae39c99ec2915555e9463bc6b9f14606da6257adab38ee9eb47b3ee17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 6c | 16,852$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.55 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,525$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…c7c2backed Yes | 0c | 5,508$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,186$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.19 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,248$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 5c | 2,677$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 5c | 2,279$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0ad8backed Yes | 5c | 1,854$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 1,584$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,530$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Yes | 4c | 1,495$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 5c | 1,470$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,328$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes | 4c | 1,239$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 3c | 891.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 2c | 864.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 6c | 781.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 11.5%15 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…e390backed Yes | 4c | 736.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 4c | 631.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…8226backed Yes | 6c | 587$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 4c | 566.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 4c | 562.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 2c | 453$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…f861backed Yes | 4c | 442.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…ae3cbacked Yes | 4c | 383.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 6c | 358.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…ebe9backed Yes | 4c | 332.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 4c | 277.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 6c | 262.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 5c | 228.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.