Earnings · resolved market
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11056a5e125a39c3fdfc6b260af389372a7f6e9a41b5730a287707bbe80c5f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8509…dee2backed No | 14c | 7,392$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…ec13backed No | 18c | 7,036$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…1941backed No | 29c | 3,982$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 23c | 2,109$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.62 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…61d7backed No | 53c | 1,495$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 71c | 1,282$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Yes | 46c | 1,279$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 1,276$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 77c | 1,159$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 20c | 1,030$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 22c | 1,023$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…05f5backed No | 26c | 999.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked No | 25c | 911.17$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed Yes | 78c | 799.99$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Yes | 69c | 739.7$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…8d93backed No | 72c | 698.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 78c | 692.36$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Yes | 74c | 632.41$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 77c | 596.28$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…3f9ebacked Yes | 68c | 536.43$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed No | 29c | 502.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…e8d1backed No | 21c | 467.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…7207backed No | 5c | 443.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 20c | 431.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 410.78$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229e…c7d0backed Yes | 65c | 374.47$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…10c4backed No | 36c | 351.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed No | 20c | 343.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…65b9backed No | 23c | 323.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed No | 33c | 303.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 18c | 299.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…800dbacked No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 65c | 289.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…5ebdbacked Yes | 69c | 289.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…3808backed No | 18c | 281.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked No | 23c | 278.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 30c | 253.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…5a73backed Yes | 64c | 246.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 21c | 243$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…7ae0backed No | 26c | 237.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…336cbacked No | 31c | 235.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed No | 28c | 231.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 67c | 225.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 18c | 207.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…b626backed Yes | 74c | 203.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed5…83efbacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…f100backed No | 65c | 199$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 22c | 194.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…f624backed No | 53c | 187.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…b7aebacked Yes | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 22c | 172.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked No | 22c | 164.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…21f7backed Yes | 70c | 162.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 159.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…6006backed Yes | 55c | 159.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9f…bd0dbacked No | 32c | 158.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9f…141abacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed Yes | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…8cb7backed No | 20c | 147.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 22c | 144.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Yes | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed No | 16c | 141.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…cf5abacked Yes | 71c | 141.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 17c | 136.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…ad59backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2accbacked No | 19c | 131.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71be…61a0backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…f453backed Yes | 74c | 122.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 67c | 119.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…167ebacked No | 21c | 115.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 30c | 114.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…f456backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…3b59backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…acdabacked Yes | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 79c | 97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…9747backed Yes | 79c | 94.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 74c | 91.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…baefbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…52eabacked Yes | 44c | 90.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe9…c89bbacked Yes | 74c | 89.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…c686backed Yes | 68c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…0c73backed No | 22c | 82.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…1612backed No | 21c | 81.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…7739backed Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…129abacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…3149backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed No | 25c | 74.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…50f1backed No | 14c | 73.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed Yes | 70c | 72.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.