TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$647,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$729,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Sentinels36c92,321$33,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,012.1822451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels19c55,989$10,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,572.541,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Karmine Corp64c50,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00067760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sentinels36c48,075$17,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,306.925546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Karmine Corp64c40,000$25,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40096048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1822…0e6abacked Sentinels1c32,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170437%3 W · 40 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-66.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked Sentinels34c24,000$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,159.951838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Karmine Corp64c18,092$11,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,453.21,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp66c17,697$11,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,076.5264155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked Sentinels31c13,844$4,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.5125944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp64c13,199$8,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,783.7990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp67c10,788$7,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.461,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Karmine Corp64c9,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24032150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp67c6,500$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.442,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Karmine Corp67c6,163$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.498949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Karmine Corp64c6,000$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.2530945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Sentinels17c5,664$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4848149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Sentinels1c5,491$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.797869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Sentinels33c5,430$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79237640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Karmine Corp65c5,385$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.629556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sentinels14c5,184$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.481,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Karmine Corp64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80030845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Sentinels37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85027637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Karmine Corp67c4,521$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.260354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Karmine Corp66c4,450$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.4332442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed Karmine Corp64c4,372$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.486663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Karmine Corp64c4,162$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.3285836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed Sentinels17c4,125$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9918162.4%113 W · 68 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Sentinels13c4,094$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4689347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sentinels18c4,000$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.31,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Karmine Corp67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32029443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp64c3,750$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Karmine Corp71c3,540$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.6751146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Sentinels11c3,331$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36112236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Karmine Corp75c3,313$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.2963944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Sentinels32c3,260$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.7389050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels36c3,250$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.51,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Sentinels1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Sentinels36c2,962$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.2811138.7%43 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Sentinels8c2,700$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.881,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Sentinels21c2,582$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54214748.3%71 W · 76 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7df4…153cbacked Sentinels10c2,485$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.779833.7%33 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Sentinels11c2,460$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1941347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x579c…ff45backed Karmine Corp76c2,217$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.543473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Karmine Corp67c2,178$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.9398956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44cd…473bbacked Karmine Corp65c2,022$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.522352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Sentinels36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Sentinels12c2,000$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp71c2,000$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5861,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x946f…518cbacked Sentinels33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Karmine Corp66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9839851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sentinels26c2,000$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.512,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f16…801abacked Karmine Corp72c1,944$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.443961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Sentinels14c1,906$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.6134536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Sentinels36c1,836$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.7558850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Karmine Corp67c1,832$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.6124554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Sentinels36c1,750$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63032045.6%146 W · 174 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Sentinels7c1,686$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Karmine Corp67c1,632$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.7110547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Sentinels7c1,550$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.521828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Karmine Corp66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1535353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Karmine Corp66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1515443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Sentinels34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Karmine Corp79c1,500$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012045%54 W · 66 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels34c1,500$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5153,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Karmine Corp72c1,500$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.4919959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Sentinels15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Sentinels11c1,481$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5866559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Sentinels34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004637%17 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Sentinels33c1,436$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.0220546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Sentinels3c1,421$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2860124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Sentinels34c1,353$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.0219041.6%79 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Sentinels4c1,300$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.566116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Karmine Corp79c1,291$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.512869.5%89 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sentinels23c1,285$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.072,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Karmine Corp67c1,246$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.189259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Sentinels36c1,217$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.1254756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Sentinels17c1,124$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.081,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Sentinels5c1,102$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.656432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Sentinels3c1,050$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x022b…35aebacked Karmine Corp72c1,042$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.662669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Sentinels33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33015333.3%51 W · 102 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked Karmine Corp79c1,000$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.746647%31 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Karmine Corp67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33012649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Sentinels6c944.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5562739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Sentinels24c910.43$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.453417.6%6 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed Sentinels11c906.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Karmine Corp75c882.3$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3312451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp66c845$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.533,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Sentinels18c844.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.634151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Sentinels8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6435045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Sentinels7c800$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547538.7%29 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Sentinels33c780.66$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.629040%36 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sentinels36c777$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.721,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed Sentinels11c772.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858726.4%23 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Sentinels13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10067057.5%385 W · 285 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Karmine Corp65c743.07$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.077955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Sentinels8c714.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012221.3%26 W · 96 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fec…e218backed Sentinels33c710$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.32646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.