Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc9143433d0a25edd9bc1acaf9b3c3bb75034802034c0c29c1c720a6cfe83e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels | 59c | 7,500$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.36 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Sentinels | 55c | 7,072$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.02 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 5,284$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.32 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 2,068$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.91 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Sentinels | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Sentinels | 54c | 1,681$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.48 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Sentinels | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Sentinels | 59c | 1,276$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.95 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 1,266$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.85 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 1,205$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.39 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 1,050$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.5 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Sentinels | 57c | 983.15$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.1 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 956.9$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.9 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 850.35$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.71 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 828.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.33 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sentinels | 56c | 807.29$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.08 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Sentinels | 33c | 757$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.58 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Sentinels | 72c | 747.35$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 630.01$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.03 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…5315backed Sentinels | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Sentinels | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 347$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 299.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sentinels | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 230$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…1acabacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Sentinels | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Sentinels | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sentinels | 59c | 196.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 190.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sentinels | 58c | 183$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Sentinels | 59c | 169.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…a04fbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 157.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Sentinels | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 107.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…a166backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 105$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Sentinels | 62c | 99.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 92.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5492…9776backed Sentinels | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 79.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 72.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Sentinels | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…6663backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Sentinels | 48c | 39.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Sentinels | 54c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 35.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 35.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…f08bbacked Sentinels | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3769…b797backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 31.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 28.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 50c | 27.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Sentinels | 65c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Sentinels | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb682…2d79backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 23.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Sentinels | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.