Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b556cfb71b7ed2016c0474ea6a3d5544d0a43ba7a2d74ab90aa37f60ae394bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof Fuego, 3v Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked Fuego | 68c | 1,150$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed 3v Team | 32c | 1,096$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.87 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked 3v Team | 34c | 949.96$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.57 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Fuego | 66c | 888.63$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed 3v Team | 32c | 886.22$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Fuego | 68c | 620$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed 3v Team | 33c | 408.19$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +98%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Fuego | 75c | 244.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked 3v Team | 35c | 243.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Fuego | 68c | 232.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Fuego | 68c | 226.81$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 3v Team | 25c | 178.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 3v Team | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 3v Team | 33c | 157.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 3v Team | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6b32backed Fuego | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Fuego | 63c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…35aebacked Fuego | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Fuego | 63c | 78.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed Fuego | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 3v Team | 32c | 66.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fuego | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fuego | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Fuego | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Fuego | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Fuego | 67c | 43.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Fuego | 66c | 33.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Fuego | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Fuego | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Fuego | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…32b7backed Fuego | 61c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Fuego | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Fuego | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonFuego won
- LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego - Game 1 WinnerFuego won
- LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego - Game 2 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.