Lol · resolved market
LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89495df8c16df443453bf14a0e8c1d772358a516865df650dab9a61d780b78b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof 3v Team, Fuego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 3v Team | 17c | 7,343$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.29 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 3v Team | 18c | 2,470$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.62 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed 3v Team | 2c | 2,024$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 3v Team | 17c | 1,971$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.71 | 544 | 29.6%161 W · 383 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed 3v Team | 17c | 1,253$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked 3v Team | 17c | 1,234$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.78 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked 3v Team | 18c | 1,150$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed 3v Team | 16c | 1,064$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed 3v Team | 15c | 824.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed 3v Team | 17c | 764.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed 3v Team | 17c | 723.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 409 | 33.7%138 W · 271 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 3v Team | 17c | 670.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed 3v Team | 17c | 662.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked 3v Team | 17c | 605.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked 3v Team | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked 3v Team | 19c | 535.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked 3v Team | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed 3v Team | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 280 | 35%98 W · 182 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 3v Team | 13c | 441$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 849 | 42.5%361 W · 488 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 3v Team | 17c | 434.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked 3v Team | 16c | 416.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed 3v Team | 20c | 403.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed 3v Team | 17c | 375$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 233 | 32.6%76 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed 3v Team | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Fuego | 76c | 264.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 772 | 46.2%357 W · 415 L | +18.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Fuego | 80c | 253.11$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked 3v Team | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 3v Team | 7c | 244.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 3v Team | 15c | 217.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 591 | 48.2%285 W · 306 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed 3v Team | 18c | 167.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed 3v Team | 18c | 155.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed 3v Team | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 3v Team | 10c | 131.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 3v Team | 22c | 120.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 3v Team | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed 3v Team | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked 3v Team | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 3v Team | 19c | 117.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 3v Team | 14c | 104.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 3v Team | 15c | 101.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 3v Team | 15c | 91.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed 3v Team | 13c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 155 | 23.9%37 W · 118 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed 3v Team | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed 3v Team | 17c | 63.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked 3v Team | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed 3v Team | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed 3v Team | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked 3v Team | 18c | 62.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Fuego | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5)Fuego won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonFuego won
- LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego - Game 2 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.