TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof magic, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$448,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$498,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd66…664fbacked magic67c23,829$15,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,854.6738358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked magic56c14,807$8,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,236.2936240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked magic67c10,422$6,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,979.2922449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX40c9,941$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,947.8460540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX41c9,829$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,844.582143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked magic79c9,000$7,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,079.9918959.8%113 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed 3DMAX32c7,196$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.048447.6%40 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed magic60c7,043$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.5517861.2%109 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed 3DMAX31c6,242$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,276.9643764.3%281 W · 156 L+51.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked magic58c5,463$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.6492456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX33c5,173$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.1172046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4001,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX33c4,931$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,303.555,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX22c4,926$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,832.551,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed magic69c4,548$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.6187847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked 3DMAX33c4,310$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.9811144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed 3DMAX32c3,600$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.966572.3%47 W · 18 L+13.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xafe8…4bd2backed magic68c3,549$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX35c3,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.9878939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX27c3,482$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.741,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed 3DMAX32c3,250$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.9829443.9%129 W · 165 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked magic53c3,050$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.5445357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed 3DMAX42c3,033$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.3317240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked magic50c3,030$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.5822641.2%93 W · 133 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked 3DMAX44c3,012$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.3943253%229 W · 203 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked magic68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0403447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed 3DMAX32c2,960$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.82138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed magic64c2,844$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.363050%15 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed 3DMAX37c2,732$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.3920947.8%100 W · 109 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked magic68c2,449$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.096442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked 3DMAX32c2,220$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.564850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked 3DMAX33c2,168$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.311,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 3DMAX56c2,027$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.161,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked 3DMAX33c1,650$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.54647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed 3DMAX34c1,633$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.6315145.7%69 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked 3DMAX32c1,600$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0885534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed magic60c1,592$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9546350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed 3DMAX63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.39071.1%64 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed 3DMAX40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90016737.7%63 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde90…d417backed magic78c1,499$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.99650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed 3DMAX38c1,443$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.6622045.5%100 W · 120 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked 3DMAX42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.5714648.6%71 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed 3DMAX32c1,400$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9524839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 3DMAX33c1,346$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.8764652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked 3DMAX32c1,306$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.083253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed magic52c1,276$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.3910150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked 3DMAX48c1,270$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.1119346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked 3DMAX31c1,225$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.8740853.7%219 W · 189 L+24.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 3DMAX23c1,150$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.1589546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX28c1,141$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.11,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed magic63c1,090$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.772,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed 3DMAX42c1,043$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1415244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed magic68c1,016$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.0622358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked magic58c1,013$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.192,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed magic60c1,005$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.537346.1%172 W · 201 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 3DMAX32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked 3DMAX48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52024447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked magic65c999.99$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65011753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed magic68c999.98$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9921360.1%128 W · 85 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 3DMAX32c999.83$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.42,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic60c989.93$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.246,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed 3DMAX34c939.96$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.385257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed 3DMAX19c900$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72923043.9%101 W · 129 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed magic68c860$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.219447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked magic68c806$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.0825950.6%131 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX35c800.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.621,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 3DMAX16c795$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.255232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked magic73c759.06$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.423,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked magic66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019857.1%113 W · 85 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe159…d987backed 3DMAX13c752.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.371040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed 3DMAX33c750$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.555736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45a…2399backed 3DMAX33c749.36$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.075646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked 3DMAX26c748.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.989445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked 3DMAX49c741.68$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.684934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked magic68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c06…c5d1backed 3DMAX61c714.93$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.468870.5%62 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked magic69c704.33$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5323852.9%126 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed 3DMAX45c682.72$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0337440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 3DMAX32c674.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9933232.2%107 W · 225 L-0.8wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb7…1dd0backed 3DMAX48c663.37$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.375100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+166.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed 3DMAX40c663$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0282142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 3DMAX40c646.69$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.481,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked 3DMAX23c644.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.6519643.4%85 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed magic53c615.24$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.0843954.9%241 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 3DMAX23c609.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9957422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed 3DMAX33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.061,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed magic60c600.39$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.352,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed 3DMAX42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3486434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed 3DMAX36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5615950.9%81 W · 78 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed 3DMAX71c540$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.618259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked magic57c527.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed magic61c526.67$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.187351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed magic52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed magic68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.996944.9%31 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865c…4079backed 3DMAX34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.992842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…e430backed 3DMAX34c499.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 3DMAX61c489.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6517546.9%82 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed magic68c465.62$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.6245859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked 3DMAX38c463.2$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1981544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.