TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof magic, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x490a…1d4bbacked 3DMAX37c13,511$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.929235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed magic64c10,708$6,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900.781,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed 3DMAX60c10,393$6,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,271.473540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked 3DMAX24c9,448$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.7632552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed magic69c8,048$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.6917062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed magic73c6,884$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.619057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed magic51c6,783$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.1587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX51c6,235$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.5981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic55c6,024$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.321,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic59c5,122$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.051,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 3DMAX49c4,990$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.1575450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked magic42c4,741$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.425052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked magic64c4,539$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.522,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic50c4,337$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.467,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed 3DMAX56c3,559$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.082070%14 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+68.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed magic57c3,305$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.3540264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX48c3,000$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked magic60c2,550$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.271,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed magic63c2,227$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.381,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX48c2,092$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.961,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic64c2,079$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.755,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 3DMAX48c2,004$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.4216946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 3DMAX41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked magic60c2,000$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.192,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked magic58c1,911$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.2643152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked magic68c1,900$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60818860.1%113 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 3DMAX53c1,889$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed magic59c1,827$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.841,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic60c1,618$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.456,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed 3DMAX38c1,567$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.671,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked magic52c1,564$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.673531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked magic64c1,537$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.0515838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 3DMAX40c1,525$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked 3DMAX46c1,445$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.0149536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed magic62c1,252$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.836446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed 3DMAX47c1,238$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.542850%14 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX45c1,224$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.551,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked magic51c1,208$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.8681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked magic51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4724038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked 3DMAX44c1,143$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX41c1,125$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.252,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked magic51c1,082$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.3547147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed magic61c1,078$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.248752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed magic55c1,011$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.917943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked magic51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49091648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 3DMAX36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked 3DMAX42c999.99$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.3433340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed 3DMAX32c999.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9935953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed magic41c997.94$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.922,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed magic52c939.56$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.995836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked 3DMAX45c843.03$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3681244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3175245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 3DMAX30c783.47$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.464,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed magic56c770.21$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.376271%44 W · 18 L+12.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed 3DMAX65c750$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.545058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed 3DMAX46c750$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed 3DMAX38c697.42$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.027638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked magic51c695.97$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.741,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed magic72c695.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.821143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed magic68c692$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.657553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed magic57c673.3$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.331,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed magic54c660$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.67548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed magic56c629.98$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8985851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 3DMAX52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31294645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked 3DMAX52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked magic75c594.22$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1240253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked 3DMAX40c590.67$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.278556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed 3DMAX36c556.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed magic54c554.56$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0518536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked magic54c547.86$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0232548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked 3DMAX20c533.84$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8192456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked magic45c520.04$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.422,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed magic52c506.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.311849.2%58 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed 3DMAX32c500$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.513245.5%60 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked 3DMAX32c492.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 3DMAX39c470.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.691,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked magic44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5522243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed 3DMAX46c432.9$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.252352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed 3DMAX45c426.32$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.314546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedcf…3335backed magic50c397.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed 3DMAX48c388$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2415838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed 3DMAX44c386.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked 3DMAX51c359.96$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5814351.7%74 W · 69 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked 3DMAX41c357.78$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6918444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 3DMAX28c344.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.392,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed 3DMAX44c318.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.335839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed magic51c304.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed magic68c300$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.52548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed magic52c272.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7472139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX39c271.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.524,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed 3DMAX15c269.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed 3DMAX39c266$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8623949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 3DMAX27c258$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.272,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0882…dceabacked 3DMAX4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed magic57c250$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.57954.4%43 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked magic54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9930349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked 3DMAX48c249.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.161127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked 3DMAX33c240$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.243237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed magic51c235.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3548240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked magic52c229.28$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3628935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.