CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03b0476e8903bcb64fd1af700b771caccbb61d8acad546607b6328e65c53bcb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof magic, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX | 49c | 3,174$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.71 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked magic | 37c | 3,044$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.37 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked 3DMAX | 62c | 2,638$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.3 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed magic | 34c | 2,574$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked 3DMAX | 65c | 2,171$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.68 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked 3DMAX | 68c | 1,266$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked magic | 66c | 1,218$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.6 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed 3DMAX | 66c | 1,100$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed magic | 30c | 1,036$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.88 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 36c | 1,000$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.58 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked 3DMAX | 64c | 938.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.28 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed 3DMAX | 70c | 904.9$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…b18dbacked magic | 32c | 897.9$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 3DMAX | 63c | 800$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…f245backed 3DMAX | 70c | 788.5$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.05 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked magic | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 3DMAX | 61c | 741.74$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.28 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed magic | 38c | 636.44$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 34c | 589$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed magic | 30c | 555$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked magic | 34c | 555$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed magic | 45c | 553.81$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked magic | 34c | 529.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked magic | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 366.01$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed magic | 39c | 341.64$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed magic | 29c | 323.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed magic | 30c | 302.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 3DMAX | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked 3DMAX | 67c | 294.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed magic | 39c | 292.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked 3DMAX | 65c | 292$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed 3DMAX | 67c | 265.15$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 3DMAX | 63c | 248.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed magic | 31c | 221.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed magic | 68c | 217.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed magic | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed 3DMAX | 31c | 172.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed magic | 31c | 156.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…f207backed 3DMAX | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed magic | 30c | 141.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked magic | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…f448backed magic | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked 3DMAX | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed magic | 35c | 110.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed magic | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 3DMAX | 66c | 98.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed 3DMAX | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed magic | 33c | 96.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed magic | 41c | 89.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed 3DMAX | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed magic | 33c | 80.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed magic | 47c | 79.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked 3DMAX | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 3DMAX | 63c | 74.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed 3DMAX | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed 3DMAX | 65c | 61.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed magic | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed magic | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 3DMAX | 67c | 46.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed 3DMAX | 68c | 34.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed 3DMAX | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed magic | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed 3DMAX | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed 3DMAX | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 3DMAX | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed 3DMAX | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed 3DMAX | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed 3DMAX | 72c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 3DMAX | 59c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed 3DMAX | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed 3DMAX | 68c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed 3DMAX | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)magic won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)3DMAX won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)3DMAX won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)3DMAX won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.