Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3207dfbac2bd6155ce62d8fc9ef44154e679f4833de116bf823a02f9c7fdd425
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof 1win, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 43c | 51,492$22,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,303.6 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 55c | 32,648$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked OG | 17c | 27,226$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,606.2 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 54c | 19,809$10,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,745 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked 1win | 43c | 18,203$7,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,741.02 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked OG | 30c | 14,021$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,759.32 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 69c | 13,891$9,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,603.23 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed OG | 18c | 13,498$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,096.75 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed OG | 62c | 12,053$7,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.63 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 45c | 12,000$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.4 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 43c | 11,676$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.15 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 54c | 10,625$5,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 46c | 9,725$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.92 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked OG | 14c | 9,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,169.99 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 50c | 9,158$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.25 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 40c | 8,269$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.75 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed OG | 20c | 7,920$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,354.79 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed OG | 44c | 7,678$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.48 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 54c | 7,572$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.69 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed OG | 52c | 7,309$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 48c | 7,306$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.14 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed OG | 57c | 6,708$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.24 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed OG | 61c | 5,893$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 77c | 5,146$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.36 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 61c | 4,948$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.77 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked OG | 47c | 4,892$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.52 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 56c | 4,536$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.96 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 23c | 4,173$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.26 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 19c | 4,160$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.43 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 53c | 4,027$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.53 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 43c | 3,893$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.44 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 1win | 56c | 3,816$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.05 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 38c | 3,576$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.71 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 20c | 3,500$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.79 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed OG | 23c | 3,338$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.23 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked 1win | 46c | 3,253$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.61 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 48c | 3,133$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.4 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 14c | 3,048$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.89 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed OG | 63c | 3,039$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.43 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed 1win | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 14c | 2,816$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.59 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked OG | 46c | 2,758$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.31 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 38c | 2,754$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 45c | 2,748$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.23 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 17c | 2,701$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.98 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked 1win | 77c | 2,600$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.99 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked OG | 19c | 2,596$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked 1win | 70c | 2,544$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.87 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed OG | 48c | 2,362$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked 1win | 6c | 2,300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked OG | 21c | 2,233$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.5 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed 1win | 57c | 2,221$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.53 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked 1win | 74c | 2,190$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.97 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked OG | 17c | 2,157$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.19 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed OG | 34c | 2,105$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked OG | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed 1win | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed 1win | 67c | 2,000$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.48 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 44c | 1,831$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed 1win | 35c | 1,737$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 58c | 1,639$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.84 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked OG | 22c | 1,554$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.41 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed 1win | 4c | 1,526$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed OG | 19c | 1,510$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.05 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed OG | 19c | 1,480$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.2 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked OG | 18c | 1,400$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.8 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed 1win | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 13c | 1,385$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.93 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed OG | 75c | 1,379$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.5 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed 1win | 50c | 1,351$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.77 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed OG | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked OG | 53c | 1,253$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.66 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 44c | 1,250$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked 1win | 8c | 1,212$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 68c | 1,211$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.48 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked 1win | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed 1win | 77c | 1,187$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.63 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked OG | 39c | 1,161$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 1win | 4c | 1,104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 50c | 1,082$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.96 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed 1win | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked OG | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…7caebacked 1win | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed OG | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed 1win | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.91 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked OG | 52c | 999$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.15 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG | 79c | 994.5$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked 1win | 77c | 989.39$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.83 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked OG | 33c | 983.05$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.23 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked 1win | 77c | 977.43$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.85 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed 1win | 50c | 914$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed OG | 15c | 886.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.67 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 53c | 884.13$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.29 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 70c | 850$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked 1win | 79c | 830$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.5 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed OG | 19c | 818.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.88 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked 1win | 56c | 792.86$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed OG | 21c | 770$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.3 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed OG | 17c | 764.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.71 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.