Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993a12bda634e4b98a1ccec9f27ce8b44a0d8685ce64da6040a9db9ae7083a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 1win | 78c | 25,567$19,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.15 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 12c | 13,045$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.7 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 13c | 11,636$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 0c | 10,355$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 21c | 8,668$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed OG | 24c | 8,333$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.54 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 22c | 5,515$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.25 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked OG | 15c | 4,128$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.74 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed OG | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed 1win | 79c | 3,775$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.04 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 79c | 3,300$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…7967backed OG | 9c | 3,286$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed OG | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked OG | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed OG | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked 1win | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 12c | 2,991$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.91 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 23c | 2,750$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 20c | 2,737$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.53 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed OG | 20c | 2,694$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.54 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked OG | 25c | 2,614$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.73 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 77c | 2,590$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.44 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked OG | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed OG | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked OG | 25c | 1,821$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.13 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 23c | 1,705$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.84 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 8c | 1,690$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed OG | 25c | 1,662$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.86 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 19c | 1,463$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.46 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 1win | 74c | 1,440$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.79 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed OG | 20c | 1,381$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed OG | 21c | 1,329$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 78c | 1,274$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.94 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed 1win | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed OG | 9c | 1,212$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked OG | 22c | 1,156$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 75c | 1,140$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.87 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed OG | 22c | 1,086$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 3c | 1,042$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed OG | 24c | 1,038$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 4c | 1,021$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 22c | 1,002$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed 1win | 78c | 1,000$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed 1win | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed OG | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed OG | 21c | 998.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 79c | 965.29$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.71 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed OG | 25c | 954$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked 1win | 75c | 906.11$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked 1win | 79c | 886.08$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed 1win | 80c | 876.94$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked 1win | 80c | 800$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked OG | 9c | 792.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 22c | 787.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed OG | 9c | 782.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed OG | 15c | 730.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked 1win | 77c | 670.18$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed 1win | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 78c | 632.46$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked OG | 25c | 576.65$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…4d80backed OG | 5c | 574.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed 1win | 76c | 521.83$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed OG | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed 1win | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed 1win | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 1win | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 1win | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…8aa2backed OG | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked OG | 20c | 449.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked OG | 24c | 424.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OG | 16c | 418.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked 1win | 79c | 410.13$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed 1win | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed 1win | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 3c | 373.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 76c | 359.17$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed OG | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked 1win | 79c | 303.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed OG | 29c | 303.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed OG | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked OG | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked 1win | 79c | 299.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed 1win | 78c | 276.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 1win | 78c | 260.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed 1win | 79c | 251.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked OG | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked OG | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked OG | 31c | 235.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…83f5backed OG | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed 1win | 79c | 221.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked OG | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked OG | 20c | 219.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed OG | 7c | 208.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed OG | 21c | 204.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked OG | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.