Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7991a21436c488dedeb19ec31ca60f3df2c2946afa2537d161fddfdffacd946

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $502,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $392,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,242 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x53b7…45e5backed No	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked No	0c	17,611$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	21c	11,842$2,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,349.48	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	70c	10,710$7,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,215.12	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	74c	10,172$7,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,621.7	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	15c	10,068$1,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,519.85	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	41c	6,157$2,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,636.57	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	8c	5,639$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.05	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	42c	5,068$2,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,929.05	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	30c	4,924$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,465.67	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	4,895$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,361.03	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	60c	4,632$2,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.45	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	15c	4,019$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,428.78	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	24c	3,799$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,897.69	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	38c	3,751$1,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.94	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	3,744$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,678.43	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	29c	3,584$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,538.06	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	18c	3,404$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,793.86	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	2c	3,399$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,331.95	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	13c	3,070$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,673.71	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	17c	2,926$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,435.32	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	34c	2,900$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,924.56	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb44b…3b96backed No	71c	2,850$2,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,036.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	2c	2,714$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,671.22	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	26c	2,607$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,926.33	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	18c	2,550$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,093.33	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	53c	2,459$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,145.29	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	22c	2,332$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,811.18	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	18c	2,198$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,804.49	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	36c	2,162$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,392.16	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	9c	2,150$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.87	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	2,135$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,053.74	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	15c	2,120$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,793.03	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	39c	2,083$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.86	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed Yes	31c	2,080$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,434.4	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	28c	2,061$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,486.08	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	2c	2,000$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,968	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	74c	1,990$1,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.16	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	25c	1,984$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,493.73	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	9c	1,971$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,787.56	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	24c	1,906$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450.9	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	17c	1,900$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,572.92	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	1,894$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,877.02	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	8c	1,877$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,718.75	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	13c	1,814$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,581.57	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	77c	1,684$1,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.95	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55c5…1710backed Yes	26c	1,645$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	67c	1,643$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.12	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	1,583$1,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.52	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	11c	1,537$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.45	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…a09dbacked Yes	3c	1,494$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,449.91	61	23%14 W · 47 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	1c	1,444$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,423.08	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed No	3c	1,414$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	6c	1,400$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.6	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	69c	1,381$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.63	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	1,358$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,303.75	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	19c	1,330$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.78	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x055a…7bbcbacked No	76c	1,284$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.54	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	21c	1,271$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.97	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	29c	1,269$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.61	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	1,260$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.52	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	12c	1,200$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.8	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes	23c	1,195$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.53	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,193$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.9	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6b…0368backed Yes	3c	1,181$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,145.54	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+287.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	26c	1,162$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.49	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	28c	1,137$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.29	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	13c	1,130$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.92	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	1c	1,120$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,106.56	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	30c	1,104$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.79	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	21c	1,091$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860.45	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes	29c	1,065$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.42	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	25c	1,055$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.04	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	27c	1,052$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.89	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed No	75c	1,048$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.91	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	29c	1,041$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.93	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	1,040$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.7	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	66c	1,026$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.69	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	20c	1,021$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.67	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	24c	1,018$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774.96	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed2…75b7backed Yes	2c	1,017$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.47	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.98per pick	2cpaid	+6,224.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	26c	1,000$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	9c	964.54$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.04	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…2f8abacked No	68c	956.01$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.54	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c6f…c9a0backed Yes	12c	952.35$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.2	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	29c	940.2$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.93	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	60c	932.19$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.96	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	2c	930$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	35c	915.51$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.34	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	8c	900.02$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.87	159	18.9%30 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	27c	848.27$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.45	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	68c	838.75$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.99	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc13…c991backed Yes	17c	837.06$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.88	161	24.2%39 W · 122 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	9c	825.87$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.91	125	48%60 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No	29c	802.27$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.43	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	16c	800$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670.07	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	73c	778.96$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.22	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	24c	777.04$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.69	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	12c	772.62$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.83	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	65c	771.8$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.17	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event